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Market Analysis

[MARKET UPDATE] Modest dovish reaction in BoE pricing following the unemployment/wage data, next cut remains priced in April but March is up to -21bps (pre-release -20.3bps). Timing for a 2nd 2026 cut brought forward to Nov. (pre-release Dec.)

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Geopolitics

Gulf official tells CNN “50:50” chance US and Iran could reach deal by Friday, CNN reports; Iranian delegation does not include IRGC, which would need to sign off on details of provisional agreement

Geopolitics

The draft agreed to by Iranian and Omani negotiators awaits final approval from Iran’s supreme leader, two regional officials told The Associated Press on Wednesday

U.S. Economy

US ADP Employment Change (Jul) 44K vs. Exp. 70K (Prev. 98K)