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ECB Staff Projections: 2026 Headline HICP maintained at 3.0% but raises 2027 and 2028 HICP forecasts

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Eurozone inflation reached 3.3% in August as energy prices surged, driving expectations for an ECB deposit rate increase to 2.50% and pushing German 10-year bund yields to 3.451%.

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HICP: 2026: 3.0% (exp. 2.9%, prev. 3.0%) 2027: 2.5% (exp. 2.7%, prev. 2.3%) 2028: 2.1% (exp. 2.0%, prev. 2.0%) Core HICP: 2026: 2.5% (exp. 2.4%, prev. 2.5%) 2027: 2.6% (exp. 2.6%, prev. 2.5%) 2028: 2.3% (exp. 2.2, prev. 2.2%) GDP 2026: 0.9% (exp. 0.8%, prev. 0.9%) 2027: 1.4% (exp. 1.3%, prev. 1.2%) 2028: 1.5% (exp. 1.5%, prev. 1.5%) *Exp via Goldman Sachs

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