Global EconomyIMPORTANT

UK Employment Change (May) 147K vs. Exp. 85.0K (Prev. 100K)

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UK employment beat expectations at 147K, but private wage growth slowed below 3%, signaling potential easing for BoE policy despite resilient headline figures and elevated public sector pay.

News detail

ONS: Private sector regular wage growth fell below 3% for the first time since 2020, while public sector wage growth remains elevated, affected by the timing of recent NHS pay awards. There were fewer Labour Force Survey interviews conducted in the latest period because of an operational issue, but ONS analysis suggests the impact on headline estimates is minimal. The latest data show a relatively steady labour market picture overall, though some measures continue to suggest softening. The number of employees on payroll was broadly flat in the latest month, while survey estimates suggest employment, unemployment and inactivity rates were broadly flat. Vacancies fell again over the quarter, but by less than in recent periods. The latest decrease was driven mainly by smaller businesses where labour and operating costs were cited as factors in not taking on new staff.

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