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Global EconomyIMPORTANT

ECB's Demarco says ECB will probably need to hike in June; not much evidence of indirect inflation effects, the 2026 inflation outlook likely to be revised upwardly

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Projections to show if one hike is enough or more is needed.

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Geopolitics

Gulf official tells CNN “50:50” chance US and Iran could reach deal by Friday, CNN reports; Iranian delegation does not include IRGC, which would need to sign off on details of provisional agreement

Geopolitics

The draft agreed to by Iranian and Omani negotiators awaits final approval from Iran’s supreme leader, two regional officials told The Associated Press on Wednesday

U.S. Economy

US ADP Employment Change (Jul) 44K vs. Exp. 70K (Prev. 98K)