Geopolitics
Russian President Putin is reportedly likely to escalate the Ukraine war, according to sources close to the Kremlin; "high probability" of escalation in coming months; could extend beyond Ukraine's borders and into NATO-aligned Baltic states
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Investors are weighing reports of a Russian escalation into Baltic states against strong defense sector momentum and severe internal Russian economic fragility.
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Putin reportedly sees full Donbas control as an essential victory.
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