Market Analysis

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Macro catalysts quiet with sector performance defined by individual stories; easyJet +10%, ITV +1%

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European bourses (STOXX 600 +0.2%) began the session on a modestly firmer footing, with an absence of EZ-specific macro catalysts supporting the lack of bias. In overnight trade, APAC stocks pared initial gains as Asian tech stocks and the tech-heavy KOSPI weakened on caution over the AI rally’s durability, and ahead of Samsung’s prelim numbers due on Tuesday, alongside this week’s USD 29bln ADR listing for SK Hynix. Sectors are mixed but with a positive bias. Leading the table is Media, helped by ITV (+1%), Travel and Leisure is helped by easyJet (+10%), while European tech underperforms after modest losses in APAC (ASML -1.5%, STMicroelectronics -1.5%) In terms of the major equity stories: easyJet agreed in principle to Castlelake’s fifth takeover bid, at GBP 6.90/shr in cash, valuing the airline at GBP 5.2bln (GBP 5.5bln fully diluted); Thales (+1%) plans to acquire Exail Technologies (3.5%) for EUR 134/shr; Comcast’s Sky agreed to acquire ITV’s media and entertainment arm for GBP 1.6bln, subject to shareholder and regulatory approval, in a deal that would create the UK’s largest commercial broadcaster. Notable broker moves include: Antofagasta (+2%) upgraded at JPMorgan; GSK (+1.5%) upgraded to Hold from Reduce at HSBC; SocGen (+0.8%) upgraded at Kepler Cheuvreux; Continental (-2%) downgraded at Kepler Cheuvreux; Close Brothers (-5%) downgraded at RBC. Stateside, futures play catch-up after US stocks were closed on Friday for US Independence Day. NQ +1% outperforms after broad tech gains on Friday, ES +0.4%, and RTY +0.2% also green. Looking ahead, highlights include the final US S&P Services/Composite PMI read and ISM Services PMI. Speakers include Fed's Waller, BoE's Mann, ECB's Schnabel, Lagarde and Lane.

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