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Fed's Williams (voter) Q&A: Seeing markets respond to Middle East changes; CPI print was consistent with what he is hoping to see over the coming months; CPI was a "little piece" of inflation run rate returning toward goal

StockNow breaking-news AI analysis

Fed's Williams views recent CPI as progress toward 2% inflation, but remains non-committal on rate timing. He emphasizes economic dynamism while maintaining a steady balance sheet policy.

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Inflation Risks to energy price inflation are somewhat less. 'Absolutely' not any consideration to changing 2% target; it is the right number and don't want to move the goalposts. Rates/Policy Don't have a clear direction about which way interest rates are going or when. Was very strong support for the move away from forward guidance. Mortgage rates are very tied to 10-year treasury yield, which is being lifted by expectations for strong US growth. When inflation comes back to 2%, would expect rates to move down somewhat to more normal levels. A lot of people are still sitting on low mortgage rates, will take a few years to resolve. Expects rates to eventually move down with inflation. Balance Sheet Roughly in range of ample reserves; "now in steady as she goes mode". There are parts of the balance sheet moving ahead organically and we are just meeting that demand. Economy Seeing an explosion of new businesses in the US. There is a lot of dynamism in US economy. Default rates have stabilised at pre-pandemic levels over the past year. Broader consumer credit is growing consistent with the economy. K-shaped economy is real.

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