Market Analysis

[MARKET ANALYSIS] European bourses see a muted start; Tech outperforms following strong TSMC July revenue

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Tech leads European markets as TSMC’s strong July revenue validates AI demand, while sectors like housing and retail lag ahead of critical US CPI and tech earnings later this week.

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European bourses begin the week relatively muted, on a quiet earnings and data docket. No major geopolitical updates over the weekend either; Iran's Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal and ending proxy warfare. More recently, the Iranian Foreign Minister Baghaei said they are currently focused on the Strait of Hormuz rather than resuming negotiations with the US. Sectors tilt negatively. Tech tops the sector pile, helped by TSMC's July revenue figures (+44.7% Y/Y). Following another strong month of sales, analysts are now estimating a 46.8% revenue increase for Q3, proving that demand for AI hardware remains firm. Other sector gainers include Basic Resources and Energy. On the other side, Media is the sector laggard, with Food, Beverages & Tobacco and Retail rounding out the sector underperformers. Key movers include: GEA Group (+0.3%), raises its FY26 guidance; Hypoport (+2.6%), Q2 revenue and gross profit gains Y/Y and confirms FY26 guidance; Eutelsat (+4.5%), the ESA says an additional 66 satellites are required for its space project; Vistry (-7.6%), as Allianz Trade reportedly cuts its credit limits for suppliers; Coca-Cola HBC (-3.1%), downgraded to neutral at BNP Paribas. US equity futures are mixed, with a slight positive tilt as the NQ outperforms. Focus this week in the US will be earnings from Supermicro and CoreWeave on Tuesday, and the inflation print on Wednesday.

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