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Politics

US Treasury Secretary Bessent says the Fed could observe before cutting rates and should wait until Chair nominee Warsh is in place

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Year-end oil expectations have not moved much. Expects Iran conflict to end and prices to come down.

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Geopolitics

Gulf official tells CNN “50:50” chance US and Iran could reach deal by Friday, CNN reports; Iranian delegation does not include IRGC, which would need to sign off on details of provisional agreement

Geopolitics

The draft agreed to by Iranian and Omani negotiators awaits final approval from Iran’s supreme leader, two regional officials told The Associated Press on Wednesday

U.S. Economy

US ADP Employment Change (Jul) 44K vs. Exp. 70K (Prev. 98K)