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Fed's Musalem (2028 voter) says Warsh is a very good pick for the Fed chair; if new Trump tariffs are one-for-one, it would not change the outlook, according to Fox Business interview

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Dynamic around FOMC tables, respectful and collegial.  Supreme Court ruling could introduce a period of uncertainty. For him policy is well positioned.  Real FFR is at or below neutral rate. Focused on PCE inflation, rather than CPI. Policy is in a good place.

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Geopolitics

Gulf official tells CNN “50:50” chance US and Iran could reach deal by Friday, CNN reports; Iranian delegation does not include IRGC, which would need to sign off on details of provisional agreement

Geopolitics

The draft agreed to by Iranian and Omani negotiators awaits final approval from Iran’s supreme leader, two regional officials told The Associated Press on Wednesday

U.S. Economy

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