[MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY gets some slight reprieve after weakening on the NFP miss
DXY slightly recovered as investors weighed a weak July NFP report (-23k jobs) against a surprise 4.1% unemployment rate, leading to reduced Fed rate hike expectations for September.
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DXY: +0.1% Ekes mild gains amid upside in oil prices and in an attempt to nurse some of Friday's losses after suffering from the disappointing US Non-farm Payrolls report, which showed an unexpected decline of 23k jobs for July and downward revisions to the prior month. Conversely, the Unemployment Rate was encouraging with a surprise decline to 4.1% (exp. 4.3%, prev. 4.2%), but was accompanied by a lower Participation Rate, while the data resulted in an unwinding of Fed rate hike bets with CME FedWatch Tool now showing a greater likelihood for the Fed to keep rates unchanged at the September meeting. EUR/USD: Flat Takes a breather after rallying in the aftermath of the US jobs data, with the single currency remaining at the 1.1500 handle owing to a lack of fresh catalysts from the bloc. GBP/USD: Flat Trades sideways amid quiet pertinent newsflow and recent failure to sustain the 1.3500 status. USD/JPY: +0.3% Clawed back nearly all of the NFP-triggered losses and returned to the 158.00 territory in a continuation of the gradual rebound from post-intervention lows, while the latest tier-2 data releases and hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions did little to shift the dial. Antipodeans: AUD/USD -0.1% / NZD/USD -0.2% Marginally pares some of last Friday's spoils but with the reversal limited amid the mostly positive risk appetite and ahead of the conclusion of the RBA's meeting tomorrow, where the central bank is widely expected to keep rates unchanged but maintain its hawkish language.
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