Market Analysis

[MARKET ANALYSIS] European bourses pare recent gains; NQ futures outperform following stellar SMCI and CRWV earnings

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NQ futures rise on stellar SMCI and CoreWeave earnings, while Korean chipmakers rally on Temasek investment news. Focus remains on upcoming US core CPI, expected at 2.5%.

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European bourses initially opened entirely in the green but has since pared back the earlier gains, now trading with slight losses. Similar price action was seen in Asia, with equities ending mixed. KOSPI was the clear outperformer, driven by gains in SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics (+5.5% and +6.7% respectively) after Asia Business Daily reported that Singapore's Temasek is planning to invest directly into the two Cos through its internal investment team. Newsflow has been light, with focus on the US CPI report at 13:30BST. Markets are expecting core CPI to tick lower to 2.5%, its lowest level since early 2021. Sectors point to a mixed picture. Energy outperforms, followed by Construction and Basic Resources. To the downside is Health Care, given the broker downgrade for Novo Nordisk (-2.8%), with Consumer Products & Services and Optimised Personal Care rounding out the sector laggards. European defence names have been benefiting following earnings by TKMS. The Co. raised its FY26 sales growth to 10-12% (prev. guided 2-5%) and Adj. EBIT margin to up to 6.5% (prev. guided "over" 6%). The reasoning behind the upgrade is the expected higher demand for surface vessels as well as for its sensors and mine-sweeping technology. Shares are higher by c. 15%, which is lifting its German peer Rheinmetall to gains of 1.8%. Key movers include: Vestas (+18.2%), Q2 revenue and adj. EBIT beat estimates and raised its FY26 sales guidance; ABN AMRO (+5.2%), Q2 metrics beat consensus and raised its FY26 commercial NII guidance; TUI (-0.2%), Q3 sales missed estimates. US equity futures are broadly higher, with slight underperformace in the YM but clear outperformace in the NQ given stellar Supermicro and CoreWeave earnings. The latter gains over 17% pre-market after the Co. raised its FY26 outlook given the accelerating AI infrastructure demand. The former trades 9.2% higher pre-market after FY revenue exceeded expectations.

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