Global EconomyIMPORTANT

UK Unemployment Rate (Jul) 4.9% vs. Exp. 5.0% (Prev. 4.9%)

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The UK unemployment rate held at 4.9% in July amid easing total wage growth, subdued job vacancies, and expectations that policymakers will maintain interest rates.

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ONS: The labour market remains broadly stable, with employment and unemployment rates largely unchanged in the latest period. However, payrolled employee numbers continue to edge down, with falls over the past year particularly evident in the retail and hospitality sectors. Vacancies remain at their lowest level outside the pandemic period for more than a decade, with smaller businesses continuing to report that increased labour costs are affecting hiring decisions. Regular wage growth has remained relatively stable in recent months, while total pay growth, which includes bonuses, has eased and was last lower nearly six years ago. There remains a notable difference between public and private sector pay growth, with public sector figures continuing to be affected by the timing of NHS pay awards this year.

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