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BoE's Bailey (Q&A) says the received information on the upside risk for food inflation is lower than what they previously thought it would be, which is encouraging, though subject to risk and uncertainty

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Investors see encouraging signs in lower food inflation risks, yet remain wary of El Nino and energy-driven upside pressures that keep the BoE's policy outlook cautious and data-dependent.

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Ramsden adds that there are risks around El Nino, and other points, which make the outlook uncertain; a point explaining why they see the risks to inflation tilted to the upside, vs the central projection.

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