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RBA Governor Bullock says board is ready to hike cash rate further if needed, while key question is if tightening already delivered is enough to slow inflation

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RBA Governor Bullock maintains a hawkish stance, ready to hike rates further if high inflation persists, despite acknowledging that previous 2026 increases are still filtering through the economy.

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Says: Policy works with a lag, meaning the full impact of this year's rate increases has yet to emerge. The strongest contribution monetary policy can make is to preserve low and stable inflation. Further slowing in demand growth will likely be needed to bring inflation lower. Some additional easing in labour market conditions will probably be required. The economy has adjusted gradually and broadly in line with expectations. Monetary policy cannot solve Australia's weak productivity growth. Underlying inflation has developed as expected but remains too high. Businesses continue to report increasing non-labour cost pressures. The housing market has softened more than anticipated. Demand growth is moderating broadly in line with the May baseline forecasts. It remains too early to judge the full economic impact of the recent oil shock. Don't know what the board will decide at next meeting, will depend on whether board thinks policy is restrictive. Will have some difficult decisions to make if board thinks inflation is not coming down.

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