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Global Economy

Berenberg now expects the ECB deposit rate to reach 3% by mid-2029 (vs prev. view of 2028; vs the current 2.25%)

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Says a temporary US-Iran agreement lowering energy costs could push Eurozone inflation below 2% in early 2027, potentially delaying ECB tightening until end-2028 Says that after that, demographic-driven labour-supply declines should lift wages and prompt renewed hiking

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U.S. Markets

Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 8.38 (exp. 6.01), Revenue 23bln (exp. 20.7bln)

LLYU.S. Economy

US ADP Employment Change (Jul) 44K vs. Exp. 70K (Prev. 98K)

Geopolitics

Gulf official tells CNN “50:50” chance US and Iran could reach deal by Friday, CNN reports; Iranian delegation does not include IRGC, which would need to sign off on details of provisional agreement