Market Analysis

[MARKET ANALYSIS] JGB futures rally despite an upward GDP revision, firmer-than-expected Labour Cash Earnings and looming 5yr auction

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Japan's upwardly revised Q2 GDP and rising real wages strengthened expectations for a Bank of Japan interest rate increase at the September meeting.

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USTs: +1 ticks Eked slight gains in quiet trade following the recent holiday lull and with oil prices little changed overnight, while price action is also not helped by looming supply, with a US 3yr note auction scheduled later. Bunds: +12 ticks Nurses some of the prior day's losses but with upside limited ahead of German Trade Data and with EUR 7bln of Bund issuances due Tuesday-Wednesday. JGBs: +36 ticks Rallied as long-term yields declined despite stronger-than-expected revised GDP data and firmer Labour Cash Earnings, while JGBs are also unfazed by the looming 5yr auction.

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