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Global Economy

German Current Account (Jun) 19.0 (Prev. 10.4)

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Germany's June current account surplus rose to 19.0 billion euros from 10.4 billion in May, despite a narrowing trade surplus and a widening trade deficit with China.

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Geopolitics

There are no discussions over extending the ceasefire between the US and Iran, according to reports citing a senior Iranian source; one issue being discussed is the US returning to the MoU and defining a time frame for implementation

Commodities

IEA OMR: Oil Market in a 1.8mln bpd deficit in Q3 (prev. forecast 800k bpd), Sees World Oil Supply 1.27mln bpd lower than demand in 2026 (prev. 860k bpd)

Geopolitics

Pakistan's Foreign Ministry says there is a possibility of extending the 60-day MOU period between the US and Iran. Note, some reports citing sources suggest that the sides have "agreed" to extend the ceasefire.