Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)STX
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Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026

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Period 2026Duration31 minParticipants2

Transcript

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Jim SchneiderSemiconductor Analyst

Ready to go? Okay. Okay.

Jim SchneiderSemiconductor Analyst

Good morning, everybody. Welcome to the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference. My name is Jim Schneider. I'm a semiconductor analyst here at Goldman Sachs. It's my pleasure to welcome Seagate Technology and CFO, Gianluca Romano, to be here with us today. Thanks, Gianluca, for being here.

Jim SchneiderSemiconductor Analyst

Thank you very much. Maybe start off at the highest level.

Jim SchneiderSemiconductor Analyst

Help us understand where you think we are in the build-out of mass storage for AI infrastructure, and where do you see the biggest opportunities specifically for Seagate over the next, say, 12 to 18 months?

Gianluca RomanoCFO

Yeah. Before we start, let me inform everyone that I will be making forward-looking statements today, and you can learn more about the risks associated with those statements on our website. Well, it's a very good question. I would say, if you look at the CapEx of our customers, the growth in their CapEx is signaling still being in a first part of the phase of AI investment. Therefore, for what we are concerned on investment in storage, in data storage, especially in the big public cloud, and more recently, I would say even more on on-prem data center with a fairly good growth on enterprise OEM.

Jim SchneiderSemiconductor Analyst

Okay, great. With your competitors, you've been able to significantly increase the amount of exabytes being brought to market without really significantly increasing unit production and by just doing the capacity additions rather than unit volume. The industry's been prudent on supply additions. Seems the strategy has really paid off for most of the players, yourself included. How do you think about striking that balance into next year and beyond?

Gianluca RomanoCFO

In general, I would say it's important for this industry to be disciplined with CapEx and with capacity addition. I think we have been very well-aligned to this discipline for two or three years at this point in time. The business is growing because of technology, not because of more units. We move up in technology with products that have more content inside the box, and that is generating, at the end of the quarter, more exabyte. Finally, this industry is selling exabytes, not units. So what we need to focus is, of course, always looking at supply and demand, and keeping a good balance between the two, and also now strongly pushing on our technology to continue to grow in exabyte year after year.

Jim SchneiderSemiconductor Analyst

What is your view on sort of the long-term exabyte growth for the industry? You've talked about 20% long-term growth as a target. Clearly, you've been outstripping that for a little while now. Is that still the correct long-term target, or you think we can kind of sustainably ship above that given the sort of current supply balance we have?

Gianluca RomanoCFO

Well, every quarter is different. Every year is different. We gave this mid-20% CAGR for a fairly long period of time. We said about 3 or 4 years. Of course, you need to look at the real exabyte growth, not only in percentage, but also the real number, in absolute number. And of course, when the base starts to grow, you add a lot of exabytes, maybe in percentage is not exactly the same of what you were doing 2 or 3 years before, but actually in exabyte is more. So that increased number of exabyte is actually what is impacting positively your revenue growth. So when the base change percentage, it could be a little bit misleading. So I always look more at the absolute numbers than percentages. But this industry, and Seagate in particular, I think, is growing very strongly in exabyte.

Gianluca RomanoCFO

As we said, this will continue because of the applications that are today and in the future impacting the need for more storage. If I look today where storage is, there is a lot of traditional application, and then there is the new input from video AI, from starting robotic AI. Or if you are here in San Francisco, you see a lot of autonomous driving. All those cars have a lot of camera, and all the data that they collect all day long gets stored. If you multiply San Francisco for the rest of the world, you can just imagine how much data autonomous driving will generate and the need for storage. And this is just one application. Even robotic AI is just the beginning.

Gianluca RomanoCFO

There is a lot of quality control that is done connected to AI, so that you get an input from AI on how to identify an eventual problem, and eventually how to fix the eventual problem. Some of that is in the form of video, and video consume a lot of exabyte. So there are a lot of new applications, but the common theme of those application is everything is based on data. And that data is very, very valuable. When you have valuable data, the cost of storage is minimal comparing to recompute that data. And that's why storage is growing at the pace that you have seen in the last 2 or 3 years.

Jim SchneiderSemiconductor Analyst

Yeah. You mentioned this idea of absolute exabyte growth for the industry. That's a very interesting notion. I don't think I remember you raising that before. Curious, is there a way to frame the industry growth in terms of absolute exabytes?

Gianluca RomanoCFO

No, I think you can look at the trend. Because we are growing fairly rapidly in terms of exabyte, the base is really growing.

Gianluca RomanoCFO

Sure. If you look at growing, I don't know, 25% or 30% this year comparing to three years ago, that is maybe a 50-plus percent.

Gianluca RomanoCFO

Of course. If you look at the number of exabyte.

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