Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026
Review the key takeaways and the transcript of this earnings call.
- Super Micro expects fiscal 27 revenue between $65 billion and $72 billion, continuing substantial growth after more than doubling revenue last year.
- The company currently has a $60 billion order book supporting the guidance.
- AI adoption is a key growth driver, with Super Micro leading innovation and offering application-optimized solutions in partnership with multiple large partners.
- Super Micro holds approximately 10% market share in a total addressable market estimated between $2 trillion and $4 trillion.
- The company focuses on delivering integrated solutions rather than just components, which supports gaining market share.
- Gross margins reached 17.5% last quarter, exceeding guidance, with management targeting stable double-digit gross margins going forward.
- Super Micro's engineering-led model enables rapid time to market and customized solutions across diverse chipsets and platforms, differentiating it from peers.
- The Data Center Building Block Solution (DCBBS) integrates power, cooling, storage, switching, and software to enable faster deployment and higher reliability for customers.
- Software and services revenue reached $538 million in fiscal 26 and is growing, with products like Super Cloud Composer and Data Center Manager integrated into total solutions.
- Super Micro serves a diversified customer base including NeoClouds, enterprises, and sovereigns, with an expanding presence in enterprise and sovereign AI deployments globally.
- The company has manufacturing capacity of 6,000 racks per month and is expanding square footage and clean room facilities to meet demand.
- CPU-based servers remain a core competency and growth area, with opportunities in upgrading aged fleets and supporting AI workloads using Intel, AMD, ARM, and custom silicon.
- Super Micro is expanding its go-to-market and services capabilities to support integration, deployment, and maintenance for enterprise customers.
- Working capital intensity is being managed with improved customer terms and delivery timing to support self-funding and eventual capital returns to shareholders.
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Transcript
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Welcome to the Supermicro Fireside Chat at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference. I have the privilege of having Michael Staiger, Senior Vice President of corporate development at Supermicro. My name is Kat Murphy, and I cover SMCI and IT hardware here at Goldman Sachs. We have about 35 minutes for today's presentation, inclusive of Q&A at the end. To start, Mike, thank you very much for being here. Appreciate the opportunity to get to talk to you in front of this audience. Let's start on the raised fiscal 2027 guide. Really impressive to see on the earnings print last quarter, expectations for $65 billion-$72 billion in revenue, which implies another year of substantial growth on top of revenue nearly doubling or more than doubling in the last year. Can you talk about the major building blocks that are supporting that outlook as we look forward to next year?
Yeah. Great. Hey, thanks for having us. It's good to see you and catch up. I think it's not lost on anyone that demand is actually pretty excellent. I think a couple of years ago we were $1.5 billion, and now we're on our way to doing $15 billion for a year, and now we're on our way to do $15 billion for one quarter and beyond. The building blocks, obviously, the foundation here is that AI adoption is underway. We're leading the charge with innovation. We have a whole host of different various solutions that we're bringing to market with our partners. The order book, obviously, at $60 billion, underpins the guidance for the year. We're pretty focused on a scheduled build-out, so to speak, for our end customers. There's a diversification within that customer base that's really helpful.
We see it broadening out, and it looks to be a multi-year cycle, and customers are looking for solutions as opposed to components, so to speak.
It's pretty awesome. In terms of thinking about this growth going forward too, you underline the healthy demand, the diversification of customers.
How should we think about, maybe put more simply, parsing the growth between TAM expansion and then Supermicro gaining share? You're obviously going after this opportunity in enterprise, which is not a place you played historically. How should we think about the balance of those two driving the growth next year?
There's multiple layers of that, which is awesome. But the TAM itself has been segmented out as $2 trillion-$4 trillion, and whether or not the market truly believes that's the TAM. But if we're thinking it's $2 trillion-$4 trillion, and we're 10% of that market, and we've said this before, we're 10% now of the market itself, which implies that we're a significant enterprise player. We'll go back to that. But that gives us a $200 billion look, and I think that there's more opportunity for us because as we move forward in this market, our focus is on solutioning the customer. If we're solutioning the customer, by nature, we should be gaining share. I think the underpinnings of this is that we're transitioning from a traditional compute stack that people have been following for years, server storage, networking, et cetera.
The deployment model could change to next generation innovative solutions, which we're leading the charge. This is why this has been driving the growth, and customers are wanting application-optimized solutions for AI and beyond. We're developing those with a whole host of partners, and we can get into that later. From that perspective, that underpins the growth on the innovation front. We look to capture more customers. We're focused on the customer as opposed to how much of the market share we can gain, so to speak. There's a lot of nuance to that, but I guess we can dive into that with whatever next question we have.
Yeah. Maybe a part of that would be helpful if you could touch on. Supermicro's right to win historically has been your engineering-led model that's been differentiated relative to some of the domestic OEM peers that you have.
As AI infrastructure becomes increasingly more complex with every chipset, with every requirement, how does your engineering focus, do you feel, differentiate you versus some of your peers?
Well, I think it's major, right? The time to market, the time to engineering, the time to solutioning, excuse me, is a material differentiator from what we're doing. So when we working with multiple large name partners, many of which were here today, they all have variations of their different chipsets and different platforms, and those platforms all need a different motherboard architecture, a framework, and we're able to manage or understand that element and put it into a product, into a system. So you take any chip, any server into any rack, into any data center as a whole total solution or an AI factory. The engineering piece of this is what leads customers to us and which leads us to gain share. And we've always done this. We've done this in the enterprise day one, back in the days of X86.
Well, X86 is still the platform, but a big platform. We were able to put more compute in a system that with a lower power draw, with better thermodynamics at a lower cost. At the time, no one cared about power and cooling. The DNA of the company is all about packaging these solutions to enable the customer to do more with their gear. So if you take that ethos, so to speak, and you move forward, and you can productize that, and you see the AI platforms actually requiring what we're able and capable of doing, where half of our staff is engineering, our focus is on this. We're sitting in Silicon Valley, all the major partners there, we can flex incredibly fast. And so we're bringing brand new technology to the market in volume and in scale, and that's a great viewpoint for customers and they notice.
Part of the mix story should also help one of the main investor questions around Supermicro, which is around your margin profile.
Incredibly strong margins last quarter, beat guidance expectations, I think 17.5% gross margins. And you've talked about returning the margin profile for the company back to stable double digits next year. What are some of these structural changes within the business versus maybe one or two years ago that gives you line of sight into that stable double-digit margin framework? Is it mix? Is it the plan being executed as expected? Anything to share there to give us confidence that Supermicro will get back into that range sustainably?
Yeah. I think the backdrop of the market in early days, there was a few large buyers and a lot of folks who wanted to serve those buyers. There was a lot of price competition in that segment. I think many of the larger buyers realized that when they were getting, I hate to use the word, systems or reference architecture, that they had to do a tremendous amount of work to stand that up. I think one of our partners has mentioned that if you have 8 racks and it takes you 30 days to make them operational, it's like $3 million. Some of these operators are looking at 100 to 1,500 rack deployments. You're talking hundreds of millions of dollars if you cannot stand up your infrastructure immediately. I think the end market's looking for time to online, time to revenue.
If you think about what's happening at the neocloud level, and you see some of these major contracts where these neoclouds were, many of them and growing, excuse me, that we're serving, they're getting hyperscaler contracts. In essence, our systems at the neoclouds are serving the hyperscalers. So they need to get those systems up and running immediately, time to market. When we solution those customers, there's a solution value. We're putting more content into those particular packs for the customers in the form of DCBBS. If you go back a year and a half ago, we told the market that we were going to do DCBBS building blocks, so we have power cooling, CDUs, rear door heat exchangers, storage switching, and software to integrate these things.
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