MOOG INC CL B Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026
Review the key takeaways and the transcript of this earnings call.
- Moog is celebrating its 75th anniversary, established in 1951 with a founding product on missile fin control for ship-to-air missiles.
- The company has expanded from missiles to intercontinental ballistic missiles, space programs like Gemini, Saturn, and Artemis, and now provides cross-vector control and actuation for rockets and missiles.
- Moog's capabilities include precision components such as hydraulic servo valves, slip rings, electric motors, and ball screws, focusing on mission-critical and flight safety-critical applications.
- The company has been recognized as one of the 100 best places to work in the US for companies over 1,000 employees for the last three years.
- Moog has implemented accountability and clear performance expectations, restructuring business units to control resources and outcomes, focusing on pricing and simplification to improve execution.
- Moog's 12-month backlog increased 23% to $3.3 billion, with total backlog at about $7.1 billion, outpacing revenue growth of 15%.
- The company expects a 9% CAGR revenue growth over three years and a 14% year-over-year increase for fiscal 2026 relative to 2025.
- Growth drivers include defense and space, particularly missile programs, and industrial data center cooling pumps showing strong demand and quadrupling production in 12 months.
- Missile program revenues are about $275 million for fiscal 2026, growing over 20% year over year, with negotiations ongoing for higher production rates (buy two, buy three, buy four) expected to impact orders in the next 3 to 6 months.
- Moog has invested heavily in capital expenditures, about twice the level of peers, to prepare for growth and ramping production, including new manufacturing equipment and facilities.
- The company has established bimodal teams to manage current business and ramp-up supply chain robustness, including dual sourcing and insourcing decisions.
- Moog improved workforce training, reducing machinist qualification time from 6 to 4 months, enhancing production efficiency and reducing errors.
- Commercial aircraft margins improved despite about 200 basis points tariff pressure due to product sourcing and materials; actions taken to mitigate tariffs include rerouting and paperwork improvements.
- Aftermarket sales are strong but decreasing as a percentage of sales due to faster ramp rates on original equipment (OE) business.
- Moog has significant content on wide-body aircraft platforms 787 and A350, providing primary and secondary flight controls, and is preparing for next-generation aircraft expected in 4 to 5 years.
- Value-based pricing initiatives started about three years ago, focusing on long-term partnerships and fair pricing, with ongoing efforts at contract renewals.
- Space and defense group business is about $1.1 billion in fiscal 2026, split approximately 60% defense and 40% space, with major segments including ground vehicles, missiles, and space components.
- Defense spending is expected to increase in the US and allied nations, with missile programs being the US government's top priority and significant growth expected.
- Moog has exposure to five of seven major hypersonic development efforts, currently in testing and development, with production impact expected later.
- The company has consolidated space launch and avionics businesses into focused factories, improving accountability and margin uplift, including site closures and product relocations.
- Moog uses an 80/20 approach to prioritize key customers and products, focusing resources on the most profitable segments and customers.
- The industrial segment represents a diversified business with about 45% industrial automation, 25% medical applications, and the remainder in flight test, auto simulation, and energy applications.
- Data center cooling pumps sales grew from $25 million last year to nearly $100 million this year, serving one hyperscaler with plans to expand to others and increase capacity with a new line in India.
- Industrial group margins are solidly in the mid-teens, with recent tariff refunds temporarily inflating margins.
- The MV-75 military aircraft program is in engineering and manufacturing development, targeting low rate initial production in the late 2020s and volume production in 2030 onwards, replacing the Black Hawk helicopter.
- Moog provides significant content on the MV-75 including flight control systems, rotor blade pitch control, flight control computer, hydraulic conditioning, and haptic feedback systems.
- Moog is investing in an advanced integrated manufacturing site in East Aurora, New York, with 150,000 square feet, automation, and in-process measurement to improve cycle times and production efficiency, aiming for full capacity by October 2027.
- The company expects to replicate this manufacturing approach for future programs like next-generation single-aisle aircraft and missile production ramps.
- Management envisions Moog as a bigger, stronger company in five years with continued organic growth, margin improvement averaging 100 basis points per year over the last three years, and improving free cash flow.
STOCKNOW INSIGHTS
Continue with outlook and guidance.
Log in to unlock executive comments and Q&A highlights.
Log in for the full summaryStockNow uses AI to translate and summarize earnings calls. Accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.
Transcript
Preview the first fifteen paragraphs, organized by speaker.
Afternoon, everyone, or good morning. My name is Sheila Kahyaoglu with the Jefferies Aerospace, Defense and Airlines Equity Research team for those on the webcast. We have Moog with us here, Pat Roche, who is President and CEO, and Jennifer Walter, who is EVP and CFO. Thanks both for being here again at the conference, despite no coverage, but always potential. For those new to this story, maybe if you could just give a quick overview of what drives Moog going forward.
Thanks, Sheila. Yeah, it would be great if you joined in to coverage, but we are happy to support you at the event today. Moog is celebrating its 75th anniversary this year, so we were established in 1951. First product of the company was on a missile fin control, ship-to-air missile. That is the founding of the company, and there is a trajectory through its entire life which has been around missiles, developing onto intercontinental ballistic missiles, and then you go on to the Gemini program, Saturn program, and Artemis most recently. So we are doing thrust vector control, actuation on all of those rockets and missiles. That is where the company has come from. It expanded capability over the years to do systems of systems engineering.
If you look at an Embraer E2 jet, we do everything from the moving surfaces on the wing through to the flight control computer in the cockpit. So a really broad range of engineering capabilities in the organization. We do precision components from hydraulic servo valves through to slip rings, electric motors, ball screws. So all of those technologies that allow us to do motion control and fluid control, basically, for our customers. Applications we go after are either mission critical, flight safety critical, or have high economic impact if they do not work. That is a common feature across our business. Culture of the company is really important. The reason I bring it up here is over the last three years, we have had a Glassdoor award as one of the 100 top best places to work in the U.S. for companies of over 1,000 employees.
So we are very proud of the fact that we are recognized for that, but that has been a feature of our company over its full 75-year history. Why it is important is the employee value proposition, that this is being a great place to work. It helps us as we are ramping, in these times, to attract new talent into the organization. So it is a differentiator for us. That is a little bit about the background of the company. The applications we are on, we design the IP. We are sticky in those applications because you are qualified for them, so we are hard to displace from many of the applications that we do.
Great. You've had a remarkable run of operating performance. How would you frame where the company is today versus a few years ago, and what's changed the most in terms of portfolio and execution?
I think overall, there's a fundamental change that happened from a few years ago, and that's really accountability for the leaders of the business and making sure that we've got clear expectations as far as what performance looks like. I would say we are very deliberate about those and aided those in some very simple restructurings of our business so that the businesses actually have control of their resources, their destination, and their outcomes. That was a fundamental change. To achieve the results that they did, we really focused on some things that we've been chatting about, and that's pricing and simplification. They've used those tools to help in their execution. The execution has delivered. Overall, the nature of the products that we supply, that hasn't changed. Our overall markets that we served, that hasn't changed.
It's really the discipline that we put in and the accountability that is the core change that was made, and then the focus on the pricing and simplification as the tools that we help to achieve those results.
That's great. Maybe touching upon your backlog and just the demand environment. Backlog is up 23% to $3.3 billion, outpacing your revenue growth of 15%. How should we think about the conversion of that backlog over the next few years? Also, how do you think about your supply chain's ability to meet as well as the labor element?
Yeah. Thanks, Sheila. The backlog itself that's listed there, that's our 12-month backlog, so that will get executed over the coming 12 months. Our total backlog is about $7.1 billion. The backlog is growing faster than the sales revenue, you are correct. If I go back to Investor Day, which was June 2023, we said our rate of growth at the top line would be between 5% and 7%. We have exceeded that for the three-year period. Our overall growth rate will be around 9% CAGR over the three-year period. Year-over-year, given our 2026 guidance relative to 2025, we are probably up 14%. It is true that revenue growth has strengthened over the time. It is a result of tailwinds in the market, for one.
I think more importantly, our capability to deliver for our customers has secured us additional wins, has taken wins away from competitors, and is gaining us new scope on some applications as well. We are growing faster, we think, as a consequence of those things.
Any way to parse that all into the 14%? As you think about your backlog growth, what surprised you to the upside from an end market perspective? Then maybe if we could think about the pricing and the new wins element coupling into that 14%.
I think our Space and Defense Group business has grown faster than was originally anticipated. A lot of growth is coming through there. I guess the surprise might be at data center cooling on the industrial side and the stability in the industrial business. The rest of the industrial business is holding up, and then you have this hotspot associated with data center cooling that has added extra fuel on the industrial side in terms of growth.
You've noted some additional content wins and new win rates as well in defense and space. I guess, how do you think about some of the missile agreements that haven't flowed in, and how that could add to the growth rates?
Yeah. As you said, we have record backlog, but yet none of that backlog includes the buy 2, buy 3, or buy 4 rates that were on the missile programs. Missiles for us is about $275 million of revenue in FY 2026. It's grown probably at around 20% plus growth rate over the last year or so, but that does not yet reflect anything coming through on those higher production rates. We are in negotiations with all of the primes on those missile programs. We have a high level of exposure to the Mach 12 missile programs. We're on PAC-3. We're on PAC-2. We're on THAAD. We're on AMRAAM. We're on Standard Missile-3. We're on Standard Missile-6. We're on Tomahawk. As all of those go through ramp increases, we will begin to see that coming through as orders to our business probably in the next three to six months.
Great. Pretty detailed negotiations with all of the primes on those.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Continue the full translated transcript in StockNow.
Log in to unlock every statement, the English original, and speaker-by-speaker history.
Log in for the full transcriptCall participants
3 people spoke on this call — only 2 are shown here.
PARTICIPANT LIST
View participant details in StockNow.
Log in to see executives and analysts, their roles, and complete speaking history.
Log in to view all participantsKeep exploring
