BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida says adoption of AI might have positive and negative implications for productivity and labour markets, adds AI has become a key topic of discussion among central banks, including at the BoJ's monetary policy meetings
Uchida outlined potential AI effects on demand, prices, productivity and financial conditions, while noting uncertainty and the need for continued assessment.
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Says: AI has implications for several key monetary policy variables, including the output gap, financial conditions and neutral-rate measures. AI represents a strong positive demand shock, adding upward pressure to both the economy and prices. AI could also influence the supply side, potentially in a positive way by lifting productivity and supporting capital accumulation. AI has lifted stock prices and eased financial conditions, while heavy bond issuance by AI-linked companies has added upward pressure to long-term interest rates. We will keep carefully assessing economic and financial indicators to build a consistent view of AI adoption’s impact. Tentatively, the demand-side effects of AI appear to have emerged first, making financial conditions more accommodative overall, though there is a risk of a correction if profits fail to keep pace.
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