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[MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed relatively contained awaiting updates on the AI, geopolitical and policy fronts

ORIGINAL · Newsquawk[MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed relatively contained awaiting updates on the AI, geopolitical and policy frontsRead originalHide original

A modestly bullish start to the session, amid energy downside and some early equity pressure in Nvidia indications hitting the broader tech space, with NQ -0.9% at most. However, this has since moderated to a mixed/bearish performance, with fixed faltering somewhat as energy comes off lows and the NQ returns to unchanged. USTs in relatively modest 106-30 to 107-07+ confines, but now essentially flat within that. The day ahead for the US features supply and a handful of data points, but it will primarily be focused on tech and geopolitics. See equities and commodities respectively for more. For Bunds the narrative has been much the same, lower by about 15 ticks as things stand, holding around the 123.00 handle in 122.91 to 123.29 confines. Focus for the bloc is on a meeting of EU officials regarding the next ECB President; though, an announcement is not expected until the Council gathering at the end of the month. de Cos and Knot remain the two main contenders, the latter speaking to the FT overnight. Gilts in-fitting, marginally outperforming on account of the pressure seen in energy and potentially in anticipation of the Milburn NEET review being published next week, a review that may signal some welfare changes during the Burnham premiership. Firmer by a few ticks, but off best and failed to breach 87.00 earlier in the session.

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The report described contained U.S. Treasury trading, weaker Bunds, and marginally firmer Gilts, alongside attention to technology, ECB succession, and UK policy.

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A modestly bullish start to the session, amid energy downside and some early equity pressure in Nvidia indications hitting the broader tech space, with NQ -0.9% at most. However, this has since moderated to a mixed/bearish performance, with fixed faltering somewhat as energy comes off lows and the NQ returns to unchanged. USTs in relatively modest 106-30 to 107-07+ confines, but now essentially flat within that. The day ahead for the US features supply and a handful of data points, but it will primarily be focused on tech and geopolitics. See equities and commodities respectively for more. For Bunds the narrative has been much the same, lower by about 15 ticks as things stand, holding around the 123.00 handle in 122.91 to 123.29 confines. Focus for the bloc is on a meeting of EU officials regarding the next ECB President; though, an announcement is not expected until the Council gathering at the end of the month. de Cos and Knot remain the two main contenders, the latter speaking to the FT overnight. Gilts in-fitting, marginally outperforming on account of the pressure seen in energy and potentially in anticipation of the Milburn NEET review being published next week, a review that may signal some welfare changes during the Burnham premiership. Firmer by a few ticks, but off best and failed to breach 87.00 earlier in the session.

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