BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common StockBTSG
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BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock Morgan Stanley 24th Annual Global Healthcare Conference

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PeriodFY 0Duration34 minParticipants2

Transcript

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Erin WrightAnalyst

Hi, good afternoon, everyone. I'm Erin Wright, Healthcare Services Analyst at Morgan Stanley, and welcome to the Morgan Stanley Annual Global Healthcare Conference. For more important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley Research Disclosure website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. With us today, this afternoon, we have BrightSpring Health Services. With them, we have CFO, Jennifer Phipps. Thank you so much for coming. We look forward to a great conversation here in terms of the fireside chat.

Jennifer PhippsCFO

Thank you. Yeah, thanks for having us.

Erin WrightAnalyst

We'll get right into it. You recently raised your 2026 guidance again in July with adjusted EBITDA now expected to be in that sort of $820 million-$845 million range. Can you bridge us to the latest increase and discuss what is now embedded in terms of your second half expectations? Where do you have the most visibility and which assumptions might, I guess, contain the greatest variability?

Jennifer PhippsCFO

Yeah, thanks for the question. We obviously had really strong performance first half, 44% EBITDA growth year-over-year. We expect continued strong growth embedded in our guidance throughout the rest of the year. Some of that outperformance has been in volume and was broad-based across all of our different business lines. As we think about both the pharmacy and provider businesses, both have performed really well from a volume perspective. We had new LDD wins, many in the first half. We've had some new ones that we've launched since we last spoke at quarter end. Then we've had some updates on the pull-through associated with those. We've had EBITDA performance, again, broad-based across both segments and performance. We've had generics have performed ahead of expectations, and are expected growth throughout the rest of the year.

Jennifer PhippsCFO

We have had lean and automation efficiency initiatives that have come online and as those have been implemented, we felt comfortable to put that into our guidance as well. As we think about our philosophy, we continue to put out guidance that we have a high confidence in our ability to deliver under a number of various different scenarios, and we are always working to exceed those expectations. Again, with volume growth underpinned by our high-quality services and maximizing leverage of our lean and automation and across our cost structure.

Erin WrightAnalyst

Okay. That is great. I do not want to get too much into the modeling details here, but given that there were a lot of investor questions on that quarterly progression in the first half, I do have to ask. The second quarter gross profit per script, about $27.50. It was down sequentially from the first quarter, though it was up 28% year-over-year. You noted that the first quarter did include about a dollar per script or so of normal seasonality uplift. What is the seasonality attributable to? How much uplift was from early conversion of POMALYST or Revlimid, and how should we think about the sustainable baseline for gross profit per script into 2027? What would create some of that upside downside?

Jennifer PhippsCFO

Yeah. I just like to mention that we manage our company ultimately for long-term, sustainable, and durable GP dollar and EBITDA dollar growth. GP per script ultimately is an output of 75 different factors across all of our different business lines and performance there. As it relates, and we do expect sequential growth throughout the rest of the year in terms of GP dollars. We did mention that we expect stability to maybe slight benefit in GP per script throughout the rest of the year. So those are some things that we have mentioned during the call after the quarter. The seasonality really relates to something that happens every first quarter, and it relates to price appreciation that occurs on branded drugs.

Jennifer PhippsCFO

To the extent that we have any inventory on hand at the end of the year in advance of our price appreciation, we get the benefit associated with that, and that typically happens in Q1. That tends to be, at least the last couple of years, has been a very similar dollar impact, and so we did provide the dollar impact per script as it related to the seasonality throughout the rest of the year.

Erin WrightAnalyst

What about the conversion impact of some of these biosimilar kind of opportunities? Is that flowing through meaningfully for you? How do we think about that?

Jennifer PhippsCFO

From a generic standpoint, we do not have a lot of biosimilars. That is more related to infusion. But from a generic standpoint, we have a number of different drivers that are impacting ultimately our profitability. Those items from a pharmacy perspective are certainly volume growth, new LDD wins, the ramp of LDD wins that we have had, generic conversions, and the growth of those generics as they ramp throughout the incremental component. We think of those generics as being a net tailwind ultimately across each of the next several quarters. Then ultimately, infusion, you have volume growth across those from a driver perspective, and then improved profitability and margin expansion. In the home and community pharmacy, as we think about those drivers and leverage our cost per script is really kind of the primary focus in addition to volume growth that we are focused on.

Erin WrightAnalyst

Okay. Bigger picture, gross profit per script, as I was mentioning before, up 28% in the second quarter, up 50% in the first quarter year-over-year, up 21% throughout your fiscal 2025. Before the years before 2025, it was roughly flat. Can you give us a little bit more context on what really has driven that inflection and some of what is durable as we head into next year?

Jennifer PhippsCFO

Yeah. One of the things to remember, this is why I mentioned early on that we are focused on the dollar growth, in addition to obviously managing each of the components of script growth for each different business that we have. Mix definitely has an impact as each of those different pharmacy businesses has varying different GP and EBITDA profile, and we are focused on driving maximum growth across each individual business line, which can then play out from a script standpoint. If you were to go to 2024, you are right. There were periods where we had a negative GP per script, but really significant GP dollar growth or even in some cases, margin expansion, and that was really a mix-related dynamic. Again, we think the right metric to focus on is the dollar growth.

Jennifer PhippsCFO

But ultimately, from a sustainability standpoint, we've continued to drive outsized volume in certain areas like specialty pharmacy, which has a higher script growth as well.

Erin WrightAnalyst

Okay, great. At your Investor Day in March, you outlined long-term guidance of 15%-20% organic EBITDA CAGR through 2028. That's nicely ahead of prior targets that were alluded to during the IPO process of high single-digit EBITDA growth. How do we think about the continuation of the momentum that we're seeing? Can you walk us through some of those key growth drivers, what they've been for BrightSpring over the past two years, but what we should see in terms of growth over the next couple of years here?

Jennifer PhippsCFO

Yeah. Over the last couple of years and what we see playing out into the next couple of years, there's been a handful of drivers of that growth. Number one is ultimately volume underpinned by our high-quality services. That was broad-based across many different businesses, but specialty pharmacy has had an outsized growth over that time period. I would say the second being the specialty pharmacy and the attractive market and our leading market position that we have across the pharmacy business. Number three would be we've had really strong provider growth, which has contributed to the bottom line in the second quarter. From an organic standpoint, the provider business grew almost 20% on an organic basis, significantly more if you include the Amedisys acquisition. Leveraging our scale and efficiency. We think that that has provided a lot of meaningful value.

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