Microchip Technology Inc Citi 2026 Global TMT Conference
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Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to day 2 of Citi Global TMT Conference. My name is Atif Malik. I cover U.S. semiconductors and semiconductor equipment stocks. It is my pleasure to welcome Eric Bjornholt, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer at Microchip. I will kick it off with my fireside questions. If you have a question, save it towards the end and we will send the mic to you, and you can ask your questions.
Welcome, Eric. Yeah, thank you for having me.
Hi, everybody. Eric, I will have to start with the customary kind of cycle question.
Microchip has now delivered roughly six consecutive quarters of above-seasonal growth. One of your peers is talking about this above-seasonal growth contouring into next year. That is ADI. Your guidance suggests a seventh consecutive quarter of above-seasonal growth. Question is really where are we in this recovery cycle today, and what are you seeing in terms of traditional drivers like channel restocking and inventories?
Before I start, I will be making certain forward-looking statements as part of this discussion and refer you to our filings with the SEC that identify important risk factors about the company. We have been in a period of growth for quite some time. If you look at where we are guiding the September quarter 2 at the midpoint, it is up 40% year-over-year. Obviously, during that time period, margin profile has changed significantly and doing quite well. Customer order patterns have been very strong. Bookings activity, we mentioned that the June quarter was the strongest bookings quarter that we have seen in about four years, and that has continued here into the current quarter. Both July and August bookings were good. Backlog continues to grow. Lead times are staying pretty steady for us.
We've seen some push-outs on lead times for some of the outsourced capacity, and that always leads to the question of what are customers doing with inventory. From what we see, we don't see that there's any significant inventory that's being built at this point in time. Actually, distribution inventory is quite low for Microchip at 25 days. The order patterns continue to come in strong, sell-through distribution strong. Since lead times have stayed very competitive at this point in time, and we are delivering to customers when we say we're going to deliver, we don't think that there's really any significant stocking that has happened yet or restocking at customers.
Great. That's good to know. You talked about the strongest booking quarter in roughly four years. Can you help us understand the end markets? Were the bookings strong across all end markets, or there are certain regions or products that are seeing above stronger bookings?
Yeah. Bookings have been strong across the board. It's really all product lines, all business units, all geography. There's not really anything to point out as being unique or different or weak in any way. It's been across the board strength in bookings.
Okay. How would you characterize the underlying demand trends across automotive and industrial?
From our perspective, the industrial and automotive recovery was delayed compared to what we've seen in Data Center Solutions and aerospace and defense. But as it stands now, we think that those customers have corrected their inventories from the last cycle, are placing higher levels of orders on us. We produced information last quarter, on a quarterly basis for the first time. We used to just do it annually in terms of breaking out end markets. And we showed in that slide that's posted on our website what the growth has been by end market year-over-year. And automotive grew, like 29%, something like that. Industrial grew quite nicely. So really, all end markets are growing very good at this point in time, and industrial and automotive are really no different.
Yeah. Eric, you guys make thousands of parts, microcontrollers, and we noticed that in periods of time when the oil prices start to go higher, the analog stocks, they start kind of stalling because the market thinks that it's going to have some effect on your businesses.
So in your kind of conversations with your customers, does this topic of oil pricing or this inflation environment, it comes up, and do you think it has an effect to a certain level on your business?
I think on most customers, it really doesn't have an impact, right? They're looking at their business outlook, and if oil prices impacts their business outlook, maybe they pump the brakes a little bit. But we haven't seen that as of yet. Like I said, the bookings activity has been really strong. Design win activity with customers continues to be very robust on some of the new products that we've been talking about publicly, which I'm sure we'll talk about in future questions that you have. So I am not seeing that impact from customers today in terms of what they're giving us in terms of orders and what they're giving us in terms of their outlook over the next year.
Yeah. We clearly didn't see it when the Iran war started in terms of your demand profile. I'm curious if you can rank order the regional strength across North America, Europe, and Asia for industrial and auto markets.
We have a little bit less exposure in China, particularly in EV, and you would've seen that when some of our competitors saw that rise in revenue and then the drop in revenue. We really don't have any significant EV exposure in China. North America and European business and automotive is, I would say, trending equally with each other. I don't really see a difference, and we have a little less exposure, particularly in China.
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