GXO Logistics, Inc. Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026
Review the key takeaways and the transcript of this earnings call.
Transcript
Preview the first fifteen paragraphs, organized by speaker.
Good morning, everybody. Welcome all of you to Jefferies 2026 Industrial Conference. My name is Stephanie Moore, Jefferies Transportation Logistics analyst. We're very pleased to have the team from GXO today. We have CEO Patrick Kellerher and Chief Strategy Officer Christine Kobacke. Thank you guys both for being here.
Thank you for having us.
Thank you. Format is just simple fireside chat.
I'll kick it off with a bunch of questions, and we can go from there.
All right. Maybe starting with some maybe kind of near term focus just because we did come off of the second quarter results.
I do think I certainly have received a lot of questions on just the organic growth performance on the quarter. On the specifics, 2Q organic growth of 3.4%, moderated slightly from the first quarter. We got a lot of questions around that. I do think that on two-year stack it actually accelerated, but there's a lot of nuances there. Maybe just starting with that, can you just talk through maybe some of the nuances, 1Q to 2Q, how we should think about the timing of contract startups and maybe what drove any kind of deceleration?
Sure. I joined GXO one year ago. Prior to joining, GXO's been on a decelerating path of organic growth. We were mid-teens organic growth when we spun out of XPO in 2021. Forecasting 4% to 5% organic growth this year. It's been a lot of work and effort in the last year to reinvigorate organic growth in the business. I think that evidenced by our Q2 new business signings at $412 million, which I believe is about 35% increase over prior year. I signaled on the call in August that the third quarter would look similar, in terms of new contract signings, in comparison to last year on a percentage basis. We feel good about the trajectory that we're on from an organic growth perspective and reinvigorating that agenda. In Q2, we saw the 3.4% organic growth.
Takes about three to six months to start up a new contract in the contract logistics business. The difference between 3.4% and 4%, which I think everybody was expecting, is $17 million. That represents about a two-week slip in startup timing. Nothing that I was concerned about. I was quite frankly surprised how concerned everybody else was. We reaffirmed run path this year for the achievement of our 4% to 5% organic growth guidance. That still holds. We will share our organic growth trajectory in our investor day, November 16th.
Stephanie, I would just add also is that our incremental revenue for this year at the end of the quarter came up to over $1 billion, and that was a record for us. And it was up about 29% year-on-year. So I think as we look ahead, we already have the visibility secured in that incremental revenue in the second half of this year.
I think that's really helpful. We get the question quite a bit is just, is there any change in underlying customer demand? But maybe emphasize what you're seeing there, but also just, I think the visibility that you do have that gives you the confidence in the second half outlook.
Yeah. So, in terms of customer demand, and we talked about this August 5th, current customer volumes in the aggregate have been relatively flat, plus or minus 1 or 2. Plus or minus 1%, really. We've seen softer volumes on the commerce retail side in Europe, but substantially higher volumes on our B2B industry verticals of aerospace and defense, technology, industrial, and life sciences. Those all really netting out to pretty stable volume and revenue for us. Talked about marginal improvement in pricing in terms of year-on-year pricing improvement, and the balance of the organic growth is really coming from retention of existing business, not losing business, and adding new business in with the new contracts that we're starting.
Maybe just starting on that sales pipeline and a lot of the work that you've put in over the last year. So I think you called out that the sales pipeline is at a record $2.7 billion. What's driving this pipeline growth? Just blanket statement there. Yeah.
It is the strategic focus that we put on North America and the strategic B2B verticals I have talked about, really leaning more into the capabilities, competencies that we have in aerospace, defense, life sciences, technology, and our industrial verticals. That is something I feel like we have not done in the past as GXO. 70% of our business today is consumer CPG, retail, e-commerce business. 40% of our new business wins so far this year have been North America. We are less than 30% of our revenue is in North America, so I think that strategy is coming to life. 41 or 42% of our new business wins have been in the B2B verticals. We have talked about where we are putting additional emphasis. I shared in the investor call on August 5th that I am particularly excited about the progress we are making there because we really have not gotten started yet.
Karen Bomber has come on as Chief Commercial Officer in January. We are standing up a digital marketing capability that did not exist in the past. That will be a huge catalyst to building additional pipeline for us. We are adding to our sales teams, particularly on the B2B verticals. Those people are just coming in, coming up to speed. So I really feel like the teams and our people have done a phenomenal job turning focus to the areas that present the greatest growth opportunity, and delivering and converting against that. We see additional coming with the investments that we are making on the growth side.
I definitely want to touch on some of those investments in a little bit, because I think there is a lot there and a lot of opportunity. But on that $2.7 billion pipeline, can you help us think about how we should think about conversion of that pipeline over the next 12 months?
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Continue the full translated transcript in StockNow.
Access every statement, the English original, and speaker-by-speaker history with StockNow Pro.
View the full transcript with ProCall participants
3 people spoke on this call — only 2 are shown here.
PARTICIPANT LIST
View participant details in StockNow.
Log in to see executives and analysts, their roles, and complete speaking history.
Log in to view all participantsKeep exploring
