Wayfair Inc. Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2026
Review the key takeaways and the transcript of this earnings call.
Transcript
Preview the first fifteen paragraphs, organized by speaker.
I'll stick with precedent. I know everyone's moving around, and unfortunately, we only have five minutes between sessions, so there'll be people that are trickling in. I think in the interest of time, we should kick off. Our next fireside chat is with the team from Wayfair. I've never had the opportunity to interview them here at Communacopia in the five years I've been at Goldman Sachs. We've always talked more at our New York-based conference, so it's great to see you guys here out in San Francisco. Thanks for coming to the show out here.
Happy to be here. It's great to be here.
Okay. Look, I think why don't we kick it off taking a step back before we take a step forward? As you look back over the last several years, this business has evolved a lot. When you think about the journey you've been on, from even going pre-COVID, through COVID, post-COVID, and where we are today, maybe set the stage for the evolution the business has been on, and then we'll use that as a jumping-off point to talk about all the exciting forward initiatives you guys have in place.
Absolutely. I guess the quick summary I would give is pre-COVID, we went public in 2014, and we were doing $1 billion in sales that year. Pre-COVID 2019, so six years later, we were doing $9 billion. We grew a lot in that period. Even at that time, pre-COVID, we sort of figured out that things had become a little bit inefficient, a lot of hiring tied to the rapid growth. We felt like we needed to become a little more lean and efficient again, kind of what had driven our success. COVID sort of threw us for a loop. COVID had a short boom followed by a long bust for the category we are in and for online, and the bust was exacerbated in the category because of ocean freight inflation and some additional factors.
We had hired a lot during COVID, so kind of the efficiency we were seeking had sort of gone the wrong way with the COVID loop. Effectively, the journey post-COVID is by 2022, we were back kind of focused on the strategy we had. We started taking share again in the market in 2022, and that was basically through the core recipe, like price, selection, availability, and speed of delivery. The reason it was just through the core recipe is that we were putting our technology efforts, so half of our corporate staff is our technology folks, software, product, data science, to a large re-platforming effort that we started in that timeframe. By 2024 into 2025, we are pretty far along in that. Then we start putting technology cycles towards programs, like Wayfair Rewards, our loyalty program, Wayfair Verified, retail stores, Wayfair Delivery+.
You see our growth accelerate as we get into 2025. As we get into this year, we are getting to the tail end of all this technology work, which is on the infrastructure, which then lets us put effort back into kind of one of the ways we have historically grown a lot, which is product-led growth.
Yeah. As we go out of this year into next year, we will have that, and this is why, going back a year now, we talked about how our growth, which had sort of been kind of flat year-over-year at the beginning of 2025, how it could go to 5%, then 10%, then 15%, 20% organically, even with the category out of favor.
We got to 5%, and then we are at 7% or 8%. We have guided this quarter to high single digits, and we are basically on that journey.
Okay. With that as a jumping-off point, let's stick with the category first. What are you seeing about the current state of the category and the way consumers are interacting with it today?
Well, I think the category has some malaise in it, which is largely tied to the fact that the housing market has some malaise in it, and as everyone knows, that's largely tied to the interest rate. You basically have folks not moving, and as a result, you sort of invest a little less in the housing projects. You're not moving, which is a year where you'd spend a lot more than a year you don't move. The category overall, it had some negative comp years. Now it's back to sort of like flattish year-over-year, but it's not a booming category. But I'll just remind you, it's a very large category. Depending on how you define the TAM, $400 billion-$500 billion in the markets we're in, which is the U.S., Canada, U.K., and Ireland.
The way we look at it is $12.5 billion last year in sales. We have a small piece of the category, but the category's flattish, but it's very fragmented, and so the opportunity is for sure.
Okay. Within that conversation around fragmented nature of the opportunity, when you think about growth going forward, do you break it into two pieces? We talk about this on the earnings calls, about the macro piece sort of out of your control and sort of the piece that's inside your control from an operational standpoint. How do you think about aligning some of your key initiatives when the macro is X, but you're gaining share, outgrowing- Yeah the category and then the elements that are inside your control?
We don't tend to worry about the macro too much, and the reason, if you think about in 2014, we were $1 billion in sales. In 2019, we were $9 billion in sales, so 9X over a six-year period. Category was great in those years. Great is 3.5%-4% growth. 3.5%, 4% growth doesn't really let you 9X, right? Or doesn't let you 5X, doesn't let you 3X. So the bulk of our growth will come from our own actions, which is the recipe, programs, and product-led growth, which will let us take share. A good category growing 3% or 4% is a lot better than zero. But the truth is, that's like the icing on the cake.
That's not the cake. Yeah, and we gave the guidance last forward of the high single digits for Q3.
And when we talked about in your shareholder letter, when you talked about getting to 10, 15, 20, that was all just assuming sort of status quo in the category.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Continue the full translated transcript in StockNow.
Access every statement, the English original, and speaker-by-speaker history with StockNow Pro.
View the full transcript with ProCall participants
3 people spoke on this call — only 2 are shown here.
PARTICIPANT LIST
View participant details in StockNow.
Log in to see executives and analysts, their roles, and complete speaking history.
Log in to view all participantsKeep exploring
