NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)NWG
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NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares) Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference

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PeriodFY 0Duration40 minParticipants2

Transcript

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Aman RakkarAnalyst

Thanks everyone. Thank you for joining us on the European track at the Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference in New York. My name is Aman Rakkar. I am the Head of U.K. and Irish banks at Barclays. Delighted to be joined this morning by Paul Thwaite, NatWest Group CEO. Paul, welcome to New York. We really appreciate you making yourself available.

Paul ThwaiteCEO

It is good to be here.

Aman RakkarAnalyst

Morning, everybody. Perhaps we can start with the bigger picture.

Aman RakkarAnalyst

NatWest is delivering a close to 20% ROTE, more than 240 basis points of capital generation, and strong growth with minimal credit risk. You have seen the ebb and flow of banking cycles.

Aman RakkarAnalyst

This is a very euphemism for very experienced long tenure at NatWest. What makes you think this performance is sustainable and- Is that a compliment or?

Aman RakkarAnalyst

It is, yeah. What makes you think this performance is sustainable? With ROTE already tracking comfortably greater than 18% target, is there scope for you to refine or raise your medium term ambition?

Paul ThwaiteCEO

Okay. Thanks, Aman. The numbers you reel off there, it is hard not to say we are pleased with them. They are very strong numbers. To me, what is most important in terms of underneath those numbers is if the strategy is working.

Paul ThwaiteCEO

Yeah. It is pretty evident that the strategy is delivering, and we have created a business that is focused from a sustainable perspective, but also a structural perspective, driving higher returns.

Paul ThwaiteCEO

That is very encouraging. That does not happen by accident. It happens by a lot of hard work, but we have put ourselves in a strong position. If you pick apart some of those big picture metrics, into our eighth year of growth, which is great. Heading for our fourth year of ROTE above 17%, which is sector leading returns. In that time period or if you look at it from, I guess, the last five years, cost-income ratio has come down by, I think, about 21%. We are now the most efficient of the large U.K. banks.

Paul ThwaiteCEO

Yeah. You have got the returns piece, you have got the efficiency piece, which obviously helps from an operating leverage perspective.

Paul ThwaiteCEO

We have done that really without fundamentally changing the risk appetite of the bank. To me that is great because when you look at how we perform under the Bank of England stress tests, our resiliency is very good. Our capital drawdowns are the least across the peer set. I think from that perspective, I do not think it is a look forward. I think if you look at the track record and then you look forward, that is what gives you confidence about the business model that is there and the sustainability of the returns. Second part to your question was around 2028 and the targets. We upgraded ROTE guidance at the half year for this year. Given we had only set the medium term targets in February, we did not do anything then.

Paul ThwaiteCEO

But as everybody here and those watching will know, the rate environment when we set those targets in February, we were in one space. If you look at the current rate environment, obviously it would be very supportive in terms of delivery against those targets. Now is not the time to reset them. But obviously if you mark to market September versus February, we would obviously be very supportive of the medium term targets, which is great. We are confident we will grow income through 2027 and 2028. Let us call it the life of the targets, the life of the plan.

Paul ThwaiteCEO

Yeah. We will grow TNAV per share.

Paul ThwaiteCEO

You can see from the amount of capital that the business is generating, that that will drive strong organic capital generation. Net net, I think we have positioned the business well. I think the track record is emerging on whichever metric you look at. That gives us confidence as we look forward through the life of the current target set.

Aman RakkarAnalyst

Perfect. I was actually supposed to ask for your help at the beginning, guys. I am going to ask for it now. We have got some remotes on the desk. We are just going to quickly rattle through three quick ARS questions.

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