Idexx Laboratories IncIDXX
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Idexx Laboratories Inc Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference

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PeriodFY 0Duration36 minParticipants3

Transcript

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Erin WrightLead Healthcare Services Analyst

Hi. Good morning/afternoon, folks. Welcome to the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference. My name is Erin Wright. I am the lead healthcare services analyst at Morgan Stanley. We are happy to have IDEXX Laboratories with us today, Chief Executive Officer, Mike Erickson, as well as Chief Financial Officer, Andrew Emerson. For board support and disclosures, please see the morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures website. With that, we will get started with our fireside chat. Thanks so much for joining us.

Michael EricksonCEO

Thanks for having us, Erin.

Erin WrightLead Healthcare Services Analyst

Yeah. You recently had an investor day in Maine, that I was fortunate enough to attend, and you highlighted the innovation drivers. You reaffirmed the long-term growth targets, calling for 10% plus organic growth, 15% plus EPS growth. Walk us through some of those key building blocks in terms of bridging to from, in terms of today's environment and what we are seeing with vet office visit trends and then the long-term growth algorithm.

Michael EricksonCEO

Yeah. Great. Let me just start by talking a little bit about the year, and then I will talk about the building blocks and tie back to some of those things. So we had an exceptional Q2 and really start to the year. We have got terrific momentum in the business. Erin, we talked at our investor day about how we are in the very early stages of this broad-based innovation cycle playing out across really multiple different platforms at the point of care, in reference labs, and in software, supported by what we are doing commercially to help our customers adopt these innovations. We are seeing that flow through into double-digit growth, both in reference labs, recurring revenue, and in our VetLab recurring revenue. On that basis, in Q2, we took up our guide for the overall year, as you know, and just reflecting that momentum that we see.

Michael EricksonCEO

When we are in this sort of dynamic period that we're all in, trying to manage signals and understand where things are headed, with IDEXX, we step back and look through that haze. To your point around the long-term view, it just reaffirms the conviction that we have in the strength of the sector and the long-term potential. We can see our way to the $45 billion TAM that we've talked about in diagnostics globally. We know that diagnostics are dramatically under-penetrated around the world relative to the outsized value that diagnostics create in the practice. Pets can't speak. It's diagnostics that give them a voice in the healthcare equation. We also know that diagnostics drives 80% of all the activity in the practice.

Michael EricksonCEO

Our entire strategy as a company is to move that needle through what we do on the innovation front and commercially, and we've been successfully doing that now for decades. We measure that through the building blocks that you asked about. We've seen really robust new customer growth. Really, the core of our strategy is to drive volume-based growth through innovation and utilization. We've seen that across the sector, and we know that customers that adopt our IDEXX innovations grow faster. Sector-wide, we're driving about a 50-basis point increase in blood work conclusion annually, and that translates to about 150 basis points of CAG diagnostic recurring revenue for IDEXX. So, we build that up across new customer growth, innovation and utilization, and modest price, tied back to the value that we're creating in the practice.

Andrew EmersonCFO

Yeah, I think just to round out the financial model, obviously that recurring revenue growth stream really enables the rest of the P&L as well. We see high incremental gross margin drop through, when we look at the ability to continue to grow our recurring revenues. We benefit from scale. We're focused on productivity. To Mike's point, part of our growth algorithm is price, in which we're creating value through various different sources of value to our customers. Some of that's innovation, some of that's things like our software capabilities, and our really keen focus on making sure that we can deliver product to them when they need it, because these are medical services, and they're often looking at making sure they can manage their own patient when it comes into the clinic.

Andrew EmersonCFO

So that gives us a really nice, robust ability to reinvest back into the business and in R&D and our commercial efforts, and be able to deliver operating margin improvement over a long period of time, ultimately to achieve that 15% plus EPS growth. So we see really significant opportunity and headroom for us both on the revenue top line, but also in our ability to continue to expand our margin profile and EPS.

Erin WrightLead Healthcare Services Analyst

Yeah, the high-margin drop through of that recurring revenue we always feel is underappreciated part of the story too. But in bigger picture, you have shown the ability to grow even in a down market. It is a question that I have to ask in terms of underlying vet demand trends. I think your guidance calls for, what, negative 1.5% to 2% vet office visit trend this year. What gets this market to normalize longer term? How confident are you in that? Or does it matter in light of the innovation drivers that you're seeing and the growth that you are seeing in light of that?

Michael EricksonCEO

Yeah. So to your question, we have seen this modest headwind to visit growth now playing out over multiple quarters, really more on the wellness side, as you know, Erin, which on the margin can be maybe seen as a little bit more discretionary than non-well. We have to step back on that, though, as well and maybe just again see the kind of broader arc through the ups and downs of the pandemic and the dynamic period since then. So if we compare where we're at today to before the pandemic, we have substantially more pets in the system, 22 million more pets through that period. And if you look at medicalized pets, also substantially more on the order of 8 to 9 million more medicalized pets. And we have a lot more visits as well from a total visit volume standpoint.

Michael EricksonCEO

And if you take any one of those factors, just on a CAGR basis, they've been growing at or above the historical norm, again, through these ups and downs and this dynamic period that we're in. So we feel good about those things. But I think the bigger point that often gets lost in the conversation around visits is really looking at care, the demand for care, the intensity and quality of care that's happening in the visits when those visits take place. And that's, again, the core of our strategy is to drive that. On that dimension, what we've seen is this continuous expansion in blood work inclusion, in wellness visits, 50 basis points annually, growing inclusion, blood work inclusion, and wellness visits.

Michael EricksonCEO

This overall step up that we've seen continuously quarter over quarter, we reported again in Q2 in diagnostic frequency and utilization, which is a very good proxy, again, for the quality of those visits. And when I sit down and talk to our corporate group, our large partners, this is a big focus for them because they understand that this drives their business model, and they want to grow this too. And so it's a natural point of alignment. And when you break down what are all the things that are driving this, IDEXX Innovation is playing a big role, but there are a number of really important underlying trends also. So we have these COVID pets that were adopted and are aging. And so if you double-click into the visit growth, we actually see positive visit growth, well and non-well, for pets over 5.

Michael EricksonCEO

That's that bolus of pets coming through. We also know that as pets age, just like people, they need more care. They visit more, but they also need more care in those visits. Not only that, it turns out that pets are living longer, which is incredibly profound when you look at the data. Just over the last decade, dogs and cats are living about a year and a half, 1.5 years longer. That's about a 12% expansion in lifespan. Because they require more care as they age, that translates to a 16% or more increase in diagnostic lifetime value. Then on top of that, we're seeing an interesting trend around the mix of breeds coming into the practice. That reflects consumer choice. Consumers are opting into breeds like the Doodles, for example, and Golden Retrievers, breeds that actually require more care, and they realize that they require more care, but this is what they want.

Michael EricksonCEO

Between the age mix, pets living longer, breed mix, all of these factors drive a higher demand for care. As we dive into our incredibly large data set of not just practice management data, but now consumer data, what we see is a very high resilience around demand for care across every single consumer economic cohort. We know it's a dynamic time, and we know that people feel pressure in the broader economy, but when they have pets, they're spending on those pets, and that's true across every economic demographic.

Erin WrightLead Healthcare Services Analyst

Would you say, though, that even with an aging pet population, are you still going to see pressure on vet office visits, but it's just about the nature of the visit is just so different than it was before? How structural is this shift in terms of you're now posting high single-digit utilization metrics. Is that durable here, or do we see things shift back to the way that vet office visits were? Where do things shake out, and is it really just a structural shift in terms of the nature of each underlying vet office visit seeing higher utilization and greater flow through those dynamics?

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