Dauch CorporationDCH
Recorded

Dauch Corporation J.P. Morgan Automotive Conference

Review the key takeaways and the transcript of this earnings call.

Period 0Duration36 minParticipants3

Transcript

Preview the first fifteen paragraphs, organized by speaker.

Rajat GuptaAutomotive Equity Research

Great. Thanks everyone for listening. My name is Rajat Gupta, a member of the automotive equity research team at JP Morgan. Very pleased to have with us the team from Dauch Corporation, David Dauch, Chairman and CEO, and Chris May, Executive Vice President and CFO. Maybe just to quickly start, six months on from the close, Dauch is a different company from American Axle most investors have followed for years, roughly twice the size, far less North America, far less General Motors-weighted. For someone who's still catching up on the story, could you give us a sense of what Dauch is today, what you most want them to understand about the earnings power of the combined business today and a few years out?

David DauchChairman and CEO

Yeah. First of all, good morning, everyone. It's an honor and a pleasure for us to be here today and talk about the transformation taking place within the Dauch Corporation. We're certainly excited about the combination of the previous legacy AAM and the legacy Dowlais coming together to form the Dauch Corporation. The big thing for those that didn't know the history is the legacy AAM or Dauch Corporation was approximately $6 billion in sales. With the acquisition of Dowlais, this year we've guided the street close to $11 billion, but for the full year, we'll be in that $11 billion-$12 billion range. We've essentially doubled the size of the company. At the same time, we wanted to make sure that we had a product portfolio that was agnostic to the market, whether it be ICE-related, hybrid-related, or EV-related going forward. That's been achieved with respect to this.

David DauchChairman and CEO

In addition to that, we wanted to introduce diversification to our business from a geographical standpoint. We were heavily concentrated in North America at 75% with legacy AAM. We're now approximately 60% with the combined business. General Motors was about 40%-45% of our business. Today, they're approximately 25%-30% of our business. So you can see the power of the diversification on the geographic, the customer, and the product portfolio standpoint. In addition to that, there's tremendous synergistic opportunity of bringing these two great companies together. We're in the process of realizing that. We've already realized $70 million on a run rate basis for this year against the goal of $100 million for this year.

David DauchChairman and CEO

At the same time, we now have a more robust business model as a combined business that is going to bode well for us from a margin accretion and cash generation standpoint, going forward as well.

Rajat GuptaAutomotive Equity Research

Understood. Yep. Thanks for that overview. Just going back to the quarter, very strong. Guidance was raised, big contribution from Dowlais that Dan Most had in the numbers, at least ahead of our expectations. Could you recap some of the main drivers of the performance and shed some light maybe also on the one-time cost that might have run through the quarter or high energy costs, the work stoppage at Three Rivers? Just to help us understand what drove the strength.

Chris MayEVP and CFO

Yeah. This is Chris. I will take that as it relates to the quarter. No, very pleased with our performance in the quarter. A couple of elements as we thought about the quarter. Sales came in stronger than our expectations, really on the back of several platforms. General Motors' light duty truck was very strong inside the quarter. We had some strong sales and revenue on the Legacy Dowlais product that supported BMW and a few other customers, also very strong. So pleased from a top-line perspective. From a performance perspective, I think what you saw happen inside that quarter is severalfold. First and foremost, from a synergy perspective, we put $15 million on a P&L flow-through inside the quarter, so tracking towards the run rates that David just mentioned. So very pleased with that performance. You can see how that adds to the margin profile of the company.

Chris MayEVP and CFO

Both legacy businesses also performed quite strongly. Legacy American Axle, and especially in its metal forming side of the business, continued to have improvements quarter after quarter. And then Legacy Dowlais business that has been invested in over the past several years from a restructuring standpoint, continued to have performance inside the quarter as well. So you put those together, and ends up with a pretty strong quarter overall for the company. In terms of some maybe puts and takes inside the quarter, we started to feel a little bit of, I would call it some energy type inflation, that we are experiencing on a macro, but not significant, but a little bit. That will obviously continue in the back half.

Chris MayEVP and CFO

We also had, I would call a one-timer associated with our Three Rivers facility, UAW work stoppage, which cost us about $8 million inside the quarter, and we spiked that over on our year-over-year walks. But big picture, synergies and performance at both of the underlying businesses inside the quarter.

Rajat GuptaAutomotive Equity Research

Yep, that makes sense. Let's talk through the GM truck transition, the next generation full size truck, very important launch for you. Customer downtime beginning in September. Could you help us think about the shape of the third and fourth quarters, just given the fourth quarter looks softer on production across GM, Stellantis, and just across the industry more broadly. Could you talk about where you see room for content, or margin uplift as the new architecture matures? And whether early platform share capture is something we should start to see in your numbers.

Chris MayEVP and CFO

Yeah. Maybe I'll talk a little bit about maybe the cadence of the back half. We articulated on our earnings call last Friday, inside of the third quarter, you have some, I would say, normal seasonality, in particular in Europe, which is generally a little weaker in August. But also, as you mentioned, as it related to the full size truck for General Motors, will start to be impacted as we supply into their Mexico facility in Silao. That's one of our largest customer endpoints for that vehicle, and they're going to start to go down, in early September for about a month. So that'll impact our production and, of course, corresponding sales and profits associated with that. In the fourth quarter, you'll have typical seasonality, generally wrapped around the holidays near the tail end of the year.

Chris MayEVP and CFO

So those would be the seasonal cadence items that I would call out as it relates to first half versus second half.

Rajat GuptaAutomotive Equity Research

Got it. I know you'll give us a lot more color at the Analyst Day on 27, but any early puts and takes on organic growth or growth over market We should think about for 2027. Obviously, historically, GM was kind of like a proxy for us to model that. But given now a broader regional and a broader customer base, maybe a few things you would suggest we keep in mind when we look at 2027.

Chris MayEVP and CFO

Yeah, it is clear we have not provided any 2027 guidance, to be clear. But if you think about some of those puts and takes, obviously macro volumes in our two primary regions of North America and Europe, obviously we will track very close to that. But you are coming into now General Motors launching these new trucks. Our experience has been that is generally very well-received inside the marketplace, so we are very excited about that launch and the benefits that will yield in the next couple of years to come. We will continue to advance our synergy objectives from a profitability standpoint. Obviously, we would look to continue to advance our productivity initiatives at the core level of the company to offset any inflation that we may experience. Those are probably some of, from a P&L standpoint, some of the higher level puts and takes for 2027.

Chris MayEVP and CFO

But still a little early to be into 2027.

Rajat GuptaAutomotive Equity Research

Got it. Fair enough. You gave us the $2 billion quoting pipeline number, but we will double-click on that in a second. But just related to that, you also pointed to reshoring inquiries picking up meaningfully as customers look at their North America footprints. Could you give us a sense of how real that pipeline is looking like? Whether it is showing up in actual awards yet, and whether it helps absorb capacity that frees up as you consolidate some plans.

FULL TRANSCRIPT

Continue the full translated transcript in StockNow.

Access every statement, the English original, and speaker-by-speaker history with StockNow Pro.

View the full transcript with Pro

More recent earnings calls

View earnings calendar