Mondelez International, Inc. Class AMDLZ
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Mondelez International, Inc. Class A Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference

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PeriodFY 0Duration36 minParticipants3

Transcript

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Andrew LazarAnalyst

Welcome back, day two. Hope everybody is properly hydrated and ready for another long day. We are really excited to have with us Mondelez International back at our conference. Thanks so much for being here. With us this morning, we have COO Luca Zaramella, CFO Amit Banati. Welcome to you both. Thank you.

Andrew LazarAnalyst

Thank you. Thanks, Andrew. Maybe we kick it off, Luca, with you.

Andrew LazarAnalyst

Mondelez has come through a pretty anomalous several years, extreme volatility in cocoa, which also necessitated a few years of sizable consecutive pricing, not to mention a broadly challenging consumer environment, all wrapped up in impacts from Middle East conflicts. While still a very dynamic macro theater, it seems as though perhaps you're getting closer to a more, I won't say normal, but maybe more stable operating environment. As you think out towards 2027 and beyond, you've continued to express confidence in the 3%-5% organic sales algorithm and high single-digit constant currency EPS over time. I guess what gives you the most confidence today that that algorithm is still intact, and what has changed in the business, maybe the past few dynamic years, that you think makes the algorithm more durable?

Luca ZaramellaCOO

It has been a few years that have been quite eventful, I would say, but we learn a lot of things along the way. The first thing we learn is that we compete in categories that are very resilient. I would have never thought that we would have taken post-COVID all the pricing we took, and with minimal, I would say, in the big scheme of things, volume implications. That's really the first learning. We continue to see snacking as a great trend in food, particularly in emerging markets. Snacking is the place to be. Within snacking, I personally believe chocolate is one of the best categories. It's not the best because I think there is a special bond between our brands and consumers in general, and it is tough to see for consumers to switch from chocolate to something else. Biscuit is another big opportunity.

Luca ZaramellaCOO

For us, it's a great category. When we step back and we look at both chocolate and biscuit, A, on chocolate, we have tremendous opportunities in terms of growing penetration of our brands. In emerging markets, we have clear examples of what chocolate can be, but we are not consistently developed across all emerging markets. When you take aside India and Brazil, you see plenty of opportunities in establishing chocolate consumer behaviors. Biscuits, on the other side, we are blessed with a brand like Oreo, which is $5 billion globally. Reality is, again, in many places, we have share opportunities that are tremendous, so ample runways. How we do that is through the muscle of distribution in emerging markets.

Luca ZaramellaCOO

In developed markets, I think in places like Europe, chocolate has shown us with Biscoff that there is a space between where we play in mainstream and in upper mainstream, where we have the right to play with our brands, call it Milka or Cadbury. The premiumization trend is a clear one. Elevating indulgence is a clear trend that we see. Again, Mondelez has the right to play in there. Finally, the U.S., where, yes, there are some challenges, particularly driven by the fact that there is some economic strains in the consumer environment. Reality is, again, brands like Oreo, Ritz, belVita, et cetera, we have tremendous opportunity. We are starting to play more in channels that are beyond the food and mass.

Luca ZaramellaCOO

When we put all of this together, we couple with the fact that we are investing heavily in our brands, in capabilities, in route to market, in digital. I believe Mondelez has what it takes to really deliver that algorithm. To complete the analysis, I would say from a profitability standpoint, big initiatives like the supply chain program that we have for the U.S. and part of Europe will deliver incremental earnings and fuel for growth.

Andrew LazarAnalyst

Great. Amit, maybe for you, the decision to raise your top-line outlook while maintaining your EPS guide struck us as an important signal.

Andrew LazarAnalyst

I think it suggests that if the business continues to outperform.

Andrew LazarAnalyst

Your bias may be towards reinvesting behind momentum rather than harvesting all of the near-term profit. Can you talk about that philosophy a bit? Specifically, what are the opportunities you're seeing today that make reinvestment a more attractive use?

Andrew LazarAnalyst

of the incremental profit dollars rather than simply maximizing earnings in the near term?

Amit BanatiCFO

Yeah. We've been consistent that we are going to invest the upside back into the business, into areas that are working. We see a lot of opportunities, a number of opportunities, where we can fuel more investment. I think it's also important to note that we've absorbed all the incremental costs related to the Middle East conflict within our guide, and those costs are not insignificant. We've absorbed that. I think in terms of opportunities, we want to invest back into areas that are working. So emerging markets where we've got momentum, increased distribution, investment behind our big brands, investment in innovation. In specific areas like growth channels, Luca was mentioning we have an opportunity in growth channels in the U.S. So investing there, to get the opportunity. Investing in innovation that's working. The Biscoff partnership is working really well, both across chocolate and biscuits.

Amit BanatiCFO

Innovation, Milka Croissant in Europe, Top Hat Chews in the U.S., Kam in Latin America. So, really fueling the innovation that's working in the marketplace, and scaling that up. Then finally, I think investing back in A&C behind our big brands in the big markets. So really our view is these reinvestments will drive volume-led top line growth across multiple years.

Andrew LazarAnalyst

Luca, North America segment has gone from one of the larger debates around the stock to arguably one of the more encouraging parts of the story. What's changed most meaningfully over the past 12 months, whether it be promotional strategy, innovation, channels or price pack architecture, and I guess why should investors believe the improvement in North America is sustainable? Maybe rather than a function of easier comps or just elevated spending in the near term.

Luca ZaramellaCOO

There are fundamentally four things that have changed significantly over the last, I would say, 12 months or so. The first one is we fixed our promotional strategy. We came to terms last year that investing more in promotions was not necessarily resulting in incrementality, and it was depleting the value of the category. We decided to restage our promotional activities, both in terms of depth and frequency, and being more intentional on what we do to drive incrementality. The strategy is paying off. I think the sales team in the U.S. has done an amazing job in making sure that promotional strategy is executed with excellence. The second element is we have accelerated channels growth where we have opportunities. We under share significantly in some of the channels like value clubs and I would say in general away from home and convenience.

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