US Foods Holding Corp.USFD
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US Foods Holding Corp. Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference

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PeriodFY 0Duration36 minParticipants2

Transcript

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Jeffrey BernsteinRestaurant and Foodservice Distribution Analyst

Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you very much for joining us as we move through the afternoon of day 2. I hope everyone had a chance to grab some lunch. My name is Jeff Bernstein. I am the restaurant and food service distribution analyst here at Barclays. We are thrilled to have our next presenting company with us today, US Foods. With us on stage from Rosemont, Illinois, we have Dirk Locascio, the CFO. By way of background, for those not familiar with US Foods, they are a leader in the U.S. food service distribution industry, partnering with roughly 250,000 restaurants and food service operators from 70-plus broad line locations and 90-plus cash-and-carry stores. Their 2026 guidance calls for 4%-6% revenue growth, supported by 2.5%-4.5% case growth, and ultimately culminating in 9%-13% EBITDA growth, and a very impressive 18%-24% EPS growth.

Jeffrey BernsteinRestaurant and Foodservice Distribution Analyst

I have a slew of questions for Dirk, but we wanted to thank everyone for joining us, and again, thank US Foods for making the trip. I will kick it off with some Q&A.

Dirk LocascioCFO

Thank you. Jeff, glad to be here.

Jeffrey BernsteinRestaurant and Foodservice Distribution Analyst

Thank you. So figured rather than mincing words, we would just start with a question about current environment and trends. We are in the midst of your third quarter. I am wondering what you could share in terms of volumes and how they are trending, if anything.

Dirk LocascioCFO

Sure. Well, it's an interesting world out there where things change regularly, it seems like. Overall, when I think about our target customer types of independent healthcare and hospitality, growth rates continue to be very healthy in those. I'd say pretty similar broadly to Q2. That's the key takeaway. Our team continues to be pleased with the 21 quarters of share gains and independence that we had through the second quarter of 2023 with healthcare. If you go sort of broader than that, we have on chain, our expectation is it continues to be similar to black box. We've seen black box soften a little bit from Q2 through Q3 so far. I'd say the industry has had a little bit of a short-term challenge from the Cyclospora recalls and that, but that's begun to normalize on produce volumes, so that's soon to be behind us.

Dirk LocascioCFO

I think overall, if you sort of all other type of noise that we've talked about before with a retailer that closed some stores for us, education, just a later back to school, and customer losses there. Otherwise, key customers, very similar and feel like our ability to continue to gain share in those is well on track.

Jeffrey BernsteinRestaurant and Foodservice Distribution Analyst

Being that you service 250,000 restaurants and food service operators, you have your finger on the pulse from a consumer standpoint. As you think about the consumer and the restaurant industry, how would you characterize that health of the consumer? I know it sounds like trends have been stable. Clearly the restaurant industry traffic, at least the big chains that we talk about, are still somewhat challenged, but I'm just wondering what you're seeing across different customer types. What levers can operators, you think, pull to sustain the sales and profit growth?

Dirk LocascioCFO

Well, I think on our last quarterly call, I think Dave Flitman, our CEO, put it well. Challenged but stable, I think is a good way to describe it out there. You see within specific concepts, to your point, you see winners and losers and those that are challenged. It seems like those that have found on the chains, those that have found that right value proposition seem to be winning. I think independents continue to be positioned well. They tend to have a loyal customer base, and they've fared well. So they will lean into values in some ways through specials and that, but they're not really the meal deals and some of that like a lot of the chains tend to be.

Dirk LocascioCFO

So overall, I think the consumer continues to be pretty stable as we think about their overall consumption ability, and I think the K-shaped continues to be unfortunately fully in force.

Jeffrey BernsteinRestaurant and Foodservice Distribution Analyst

Yep. Where in the independent case growth, seems like that's the area of focus for you, the most profitable.

Jeffrey BernsteinRestaurant and Foodservice Distribution Analyst

They have obviously a loyal customer base themselves. You had a very strong first half of this year. It seems like momentum has continued into the third quarter based on your comments moments ago. I'm just wondering, what do you think is driving that acceleration in the share gains? And again, why you believe maybe the independents are outperforming those chains.

Dirk LocascioCFO

Sure. Well, I'm pleased, although we believe we can do more. I'm pleased with the continued acceleration, five quarters in a row of acceleration in our independent case growth. It really comes down to just core execution. Randy Taylor, who leads our field sales organization and field operations period, he has overall with that team, they focused a lot on whether it's underperforming markets and/or capabilities to be able to advance those, and that's helped increase. We've seen our net new customer accounts, acquisitions continue to grow for those five quarters, same as our overall case growth. So we're encouraged by that. Then we have things like our digital platform, our Pronto platform, which both continue to support the growth within the digital platform.

Dirk LocascioCFO

For example, we continue to deploy new capabilities, leveraging AI to be able to enhance sales growth, cross-sell, up-sell type of things. Each of those all contribute. What I get really excited about, though, is we have a number of markets that are growing well north of 5%, so we know that over time, 5% is something we can definitely well exceed even in a current environment. We try not to lose the whatever the noise of the day or the week is into the march toward continued acceleration.

Jeffrey BernsteinRestaurant and Foodservice Distribution Analyst

Right. I know we have the three largest players here over the three days. It seems like the common theme being, when we talk about market share, that the big three, put aside your differences, collectively have 35%, less than 40% market share.

Jeffrey BernsteinRestaurant and Foodservice Distribution Analyst

How do you see that trending over time? It would seem like there are other industries that are way north of a number like that.

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