Yum! Brands, Inc. Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference
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service distribution analyst here at Barclays. I should say with news of my plans to retire actually at the end of this month. I am the outgoing analyst with the next analyst still to be named. But after 25 years covering the restaurant and food service distribution sector, it is actually making me a little sad to be here over these 3 days. I feel like Barclays has thrown me a fantastic going away party. Thank you all for joining us this morning. I should just mention that this is day 2. We are excited to have 14 restaurant and food service distribution analysts here, distribution companies here over the 3 days. Just as a recap, we did have The Cheesecake Factory, BJ's Restaurants, and Kura Sushi here yesterday. Today we have 10, led by Yum! Otherwise, we have Bloomin' Brands and Dine Brands, First Watch, Performance Food Group, Restaurant Brands International, Sysco, Texas Roadhouse, Wendy's, US Foods, and Wingstop.
Then Performance Food Group all by themselves tomorrow. We hope you find the conference a good use of time. We get a chance to chat in the halls between meetings. At this point, I would love to introduce our first presenting company, which is Yum! Brands. With us on stage, we have Ranjith Roy, the CFO of Yum! Brands. By way of background, for those not familiar, Yum! is a multinational quick service portfolio comprised of 3 brands, KFC, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill, having recently sold off their Pizza Hut business in a successful transaction earlier this year.
Just for background, Yum!'s long-term annual guidance is for 7% system sales growth, supported by 5% net unit growth, and ultimately resulting in 8%+ core operating profit growth. Again, most recently, the company announced the sale of Pizza Hut ex-China to LongRange Capital and the Mainland China arm to Yum China. We want to thank you all very much for joining us and specifically Yum! I will now kick it off with some questions for Roy, the CFO.
Thank you. Oh, thanks, Jeff.
Thank you very much for joining us. I had a few bigger picture, maybe consumer questions since Okay you get to look at the world Yeah of consumer across your brands.
I know it makes it hard to make generalizations, so I will just say that up front. But if you could just maybe think about starting just with the U.S., the health of the consumer. Obviously, this is a consumer conference.
Yeah. What do you look at to assess the health of the business, obviously, your brands along with just broader macro.
Have you seen any changes in trend, whether in age group or income cohort or ethnicity or anything like that over the past year? How would you lay that out?
Yeah, good question, Jeff. Look, obviously, as a brand that has the kind of footprint we do, both in the U.S. and internationally, we got to focus a lot of time on thinking about how the consumer's doing. I'd say as we think about the past year, there's probably two words we'd use. It's resilient and diligent or consumers using discretion. Resilient because frankly, I'm sure a lot of analysts in this room were always surprised and heartened by the strength of the consumer, whether that's wages, unemployment being low, and so on and so forth, and consumer spending holding up. We're continuing to see that. But it's not just whether consumers are spending. In our business to win, it's about how they're spending, when they're spending, and why they're spending.
When you actually think about that, we obviously, similar to many others, are seeing more strength in higher income consumers and slightly lower growth, I'd say, in households making less than $100,000 a year. That's something that I'm sure you see in a lot of companies that you cover. But in addition to that, the consumer is making choices. The divergence in performance in our industry, I think, has never been higher than it is right now, i.e., consumers still need to eat out. Consumers are still going out and using restaurants as an affordable luxury for themselves, but they're making very deliberate choices about what they want and what they don't want. We're seeing that in the divergence of results, particularly in the U.S.
When you think about Taco Bell in Q1 and Q2 of this year, Taco Bell demonstrated mid to high single-digit same-store sales growth, clearly taking share from a lot of other players and benefiting from consumer spending. A lot of it comes down to really not just the consumer being strong, but us thinking about consumer sentiment, consumer love for our brand, what offerings are relevant, how do we enhance our digital offerings to bring in younger consumers. As a result of that, we saw transaction growth and dollar sales growth across all income cohorts in the U.S. with, of course, the strength being in the higher income and slightly lower growth in the lower income consumer.
That's impressive resilience because clearly you have some that are winning and others that are struggling. When you think about food away from home, and I have to be careful to say this because I'm at a Consumer Staples conference with a lot of food at home peers, but the battle of food at home versus food away from home, we often like to say that food away from home continues to win in that battle versus food at home. But how would you describe that battle and maybe the most recent restaurant industry's push towards more value, how that's helped to continue to sway consumers- Yeah to spend on food away from home?
Oh, that's a great question. Look, we often get the question of food at home, food away from home. As we look at the data, we see the gap in inflation and food away from home versus food at home has narrowed. Over the last couple of years, the restaurant industry in general has started to become more competitive versus food at home. That means we probably are in a slightly more constructive pricing environment, we think, than in the last couple of years. But reality is our business has not changed. In the U.S., and Taco Bell is the vast majority of our business in the U.S. In the U.S., Taco Bell has always had a value-on mentality. I think when you look at the cycle of when people said restaurants took too much pricing, Taco Bell did not participate in that.
We've always had value. We've had very high value perception, and we continue to have that. But it's not just price, it is overall value, which includes, are you relevant? Are you delivering a great experience to consumers? In some of those areas, we continue to put a lot of effort in to make sure we stay ahead of the game.
Understood. In terms of questions you get from investors, and I'm sure they cover a broad range, but what do you think questions maybe there's a misunderstanding about Yum! Brands from investors, or perhaps questions that you're not getting that you're surprised that you think investors should be asking about Yum! Brands?
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