Veracyte, Inc.VCYT
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Veracyte, Inc. Canaccord Genuity's 46th Annual Growth Conference

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PeriodFY 0Duration26 minParticipants2

Transcript

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Kyle MiksonAnalyst

Hi, welcome to the Canaccord Genuity Growth Conference. I'm Kyle Mikson. I cover life science tools and diagnostics for Canaccord. Please welcome me to a fireside chat with Veracyte. Here with us today, Veracyte offers a broad range of tests across thyroid cancer, prostate cancer, and others. With the company, we have Rebecca Chambers, CFO. Thanks, Rebecca, for joining us today. Appreciate it. First, maybe just walk through the second quarter results you guys announced two weeks ago or so. Good quarter. Just walk through the puts and takes, please.

Rebecca ChambersCFO

Yeah, happy to do so, and thanks for having us today, Kyle. Before doing so, I would like to refer you all to our safe harbor statement that will cover today's statements. That can be found on our investor relations webpage at www.veracyte.com. With that, happy to answer your question. The second quarter was a milestone quarter for us. We had anticipated two product launches during the quarter, which came to bear. We launched Prosigna for our breast cancer market, as well as MIBC for MRD with our TrueMRD tests. Those were quite exciting launches.

Rebecca ChambersCFO

We also, in the second quarter, delivered $150 million of revenue and raised our guide accordingly and we're quite pleased with the quarter, albeit some of the dynamics in the quarter, which I know we'll get into, were a little bit different than expected, but all in all, a strong pricing story, and a very reasonable volume growth story. Additionally, we generated adjusted EBITDA of over 29% in the quarter, more than $40 million of cash. While not every single data point was absolutely perfect during the quarter, the vast majority were incredibly strong. There's some dynamics here and there that we'll get into, but overall, it was an incredibly solid quarter, specifically really showing the strength of our pipeline with multiple data readouts across the three products.

Kyle MiksonAnalyst

Yeah. Okay, great. One of the clear bright spots for many quarters has been the adjusted EBITDA margin.

Kyle MiksonAnalyst

Yeah. It's among the highest I think we've seen from any molecular diagnostic company in many years, maybe ever.

Kyle MiksonAnalyst

What's been the secret to that? Maybe just talk a little bit about why you haven't been able to, or you've chosen, sorry, not to push through and get to 40% or something like that, I guess.

Rebecca ChambersCFO

Yeah, happy to do so. Our philosophy is that a well-run molecular diagnostic company should be able to sustain an adjusted EBITDA of around 25%, and at the same time invest in long-term growth drivers, right? The profitability profile of this franchise is not to be at the expense of revenue growth. Revenue growth is, we're delivering 14%-16% revenue growth this year, so obviously very nice revenue growth. We are investing heavily in our long-term and medium-term growth drivers. That's why we don't flow more down, because effectively, we want to sustain this business for a long period of time, and that sustainability really comes through incremental investment in our Prosigna franchise, in our MRD franchise, in international, and a longer term duration. We believe that doing so gives us the best of both worlds.

Rebecca ChambersCFO

We get the revenue growth from high ROIC projects that we're investing in, as well as delivering strong cash generation and profitability to shareholders and effectively sustaining ourselves. That philosophy came about quite from effectively when we joined the company back in 2021. We looked at all the different investments that the company was making across numerous different products, looked at the, effectively, the return on those investments, and we shut down a lot in our portfolio. We shut down, I think, five products in total. Those products were those that we didn't necessarily felt had the ROIC profile that was required. We doubled down on Decipher and Afirma, returned Afirma to growth. We invested in an MRD franchise, which effectively we bought in 2024.

Rebecca ChambersCFO

We invested in the Prosigna product, and so we've really set ourselves up for sustaining this revenue growth profile and also quite the attractive profitability profile. It all came through active portfolio management and active strategic plan, which we deliver to the organization, to the board year in, year out, and have that high financial hurdle philosophy in doing so.

Kyle MiksonAnalyst

All right, great. Back to the second quarter, maybe the one less positive point would be the Decipher business.

Kyle MiksonAnalyst

Yep. Decipher is a very impressive test.

Kyle MiksonAnalyst

Genomic classifier prognostic test for prostate cancer, also bladder cancer component as well. Prostate's the one that's doing really well. It's been growing. I think revenue grew 20% in the quarter, volume dipped just below 20% for the first time in, I think we had it at 12 or 13 quarters or so. Which again, 17% growth, I think it was, for volume. That's still very impressive. There are obviously questions about the sustainability of 20. Can you get back to 20? What happened in the quarter or so? Maybe just walk through what happened and what the path forward looks like for that in terms of volume, at least.

Rebecca ChambersCFO

Yeah, happy to do so. Decipher was an acquisition of the company back in 2021 and has developed and sustained an amazing growth for many quarters and years. The second quarter was no different. You're absolutely right, Kyle, that we did dip to a 17% volume growth, and that was not totally unexpected because the comp was so challenging. The second and third quarter comp last year both were incredibly hard. We called that out on the first quarter call. We did miss by about 700 tests in the quarter, which is just over a day. That was primarily in the low-risk setting. The low-risk setting is about 20% of total volume, that is growing more mid-single digits, whereas the other 80% is growing 20%.

Rebecca ChambersCFO

What changed there was in December of last year, the NCCN guidelines were updated to take genomic classifiers out of the low-risk recommendation. That has happened before, and we didn't necessarily see that impact, so we didn't expect to see an impact, but we did, obviously. We updated our volume guide for the year to be 1,000 tests lower in low risk only, which again, on a base of more than 120,000 is really not a huge deal, but I think given Decipher has been such a longstanding 20-plus percent grower, I think did dip below a magic number that folks were paying attention to. We do believe Decipher growth is very sustainable on a unit basis. We've always talked about it on a unit basis. We have consistently grown 20,000 tests plus or minus 1,000 each and every year.

Rebecca ChambersCFO

Going forward, we don't expect this to change. There's no reason to think it will change. High risk and intermediate will be higher than that on a growth rate perspective. Low risk will be lower, but we do think that 20,000 is quite sustainable. We were only 33% penetrated coming into this year. We think this market should be 80% penetrated, and it's a multi-year trade. But we're well on our way to laying out the claims both on, obviously, in the intermediate and high, but also on the low risk to help get us there over that multi-year period.

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