Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.GRDN
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Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Healthcare Services and Technology Conference

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Transcript

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Brian TanquilutAnalyst

All right. Good afternoon, and hopefully everyone's still awake, and we're all drinking coffee, right? Our next fireside chat is Guardian Pharmacy Services. With us today is Fred Burke, the company's CEO. Fred, thank you for doing this.

Fred BurkePresident and CEO

Brian, thank you. It's great.

Brian TanquilutAnalyst

Always nice to see you here in Nashville.

Fred BurkePresident and CEO

Well, this is a great conference that you've put together. It's been really productive for us.

Fred BurkePresident and CEO

I appreciate that. Thank you for including us.

Brian TanquilutAnalyst

All right. What about we do a state of the union? How are things going at Guardian?

Fred BurkePresident and CEO

Well, we had a very momentous first half in that we implemented the IRA and the fixes that we had negotiated for that. And proud to say that the forecasting that we had done with our data analytics platform panned out to be the case. A lot of changes, a lot of moving parts, but I am very proud of our company and its skill set to be able to predict something like that.

Brian TanquilutAnalyst

Fred, someone was signaling to me, by the way, that maybe we should start with an intro into Guardian for those who are not very familiar with your story. So what is Guardian? Sure.

Fred BurkePresident and CEO

We are a specialty institutional pharmacy that focuses our service on assisted living facilities, who require a completely different type of service than what most long-term care pharmacies are geared to serve, which is skilled nursing facilities. We've been at this for 22 years. We were founded 22 years ago with this in mind, and we've grown step by step over this past two decades, planting flags and now serving 38 states. We grow both organically, which is very important in our DNA. We do that by selling new assisted living facilities to use our pharmacy service. And marginally, we've benefited from industry tailwinds, such as the occupancy rebound from COVID. And we focus on an important service to assisted living, which is to have a high adoption rate of residents using the pharmacy service.

Fred BurkePresident and CEO

And then we have benefited greatly from growth through contiguous greenfield startups, and we do M&A. So we've grown from the one initial pharmacy to 60 or so today.

Brian TanquilutAnalyst

That's amazing. Maybe a few things to unpack there. So when we think of the growth algorithm or your growth outlook for your business, how should investors think about that, and what are those drivers? You mentioned silver tsunami as part of the senior housing space, penetration. Yeah, if you can just unpack all that for us.

Fred BurkePresident and CEO

It is complicated by the IRA. Let's pretend the IRA didn't exist. Our growth algorithm is we feel like we can grow organically in the highest single digits, and we have done that since inception. We do that through the things I mentioned before, selling new facilities to use our pharmacy service and the contiguous greenfield startups, increasing the adoption rate from when we take on the facility up to our corporate average of 90%, and at the margin, a little bit of benefit from the occupancy rebound. We augment that growth with M&A and have been able to deliver since inception mid double digit, mid-teens growth. But we are looking and guiding to low teen revenue growth. All of that is assuming the IRA didn't exist. We have this one-time anomaly, really three-time anomaly with the three tranches, that is arresting reported revenue growth.

Fred BurkePresident and CEO

In the first half of the year, we grew 2% revenue, but if you were to adjust it for the effect of the IRA, it would be the low double digit that I just mentioned. Down on the EBITDA, it is a different story. Here, it is driven almost exclusively by organic because most of the acquisitions come on board with a very low profitability level.

Brian TanquilutAnalyst

Maybe a few things there. Let's start with the IRA, right? Like you said, it has been a growth limiter on the top line.

Brian TanquilutAnalyst

But you have done a very good job offsetting that with contractual adjustments with your PBM partners. As we think of the remaining IRA adjustments over the next few years, how should investors think about the earnings impact of future cuts to drug pricing?

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